“Let’s think grandly, let’s think universal here, or cosmically. Maybe this is a break in a strange way,” said Matthews. He went on to think aloud about the President’s path towards achieving health care reform after a hypothetical ruling by the Supreme Court that strikes down the mandate.
In Matthew’s scenario, the President explains that he tried “the middle road” way but is forced to push for a single payer option along European lines
Klein agreed with Mathews. “If the Supreme Court takes this [the individual mandate] off the table, pretty much all that is left as a way to deal with free rider problem in health care, where people come and get insurance and healthy people stay out, is some form of single payer,” said Klein.
But achieving a single payer system will be even more difficult legislatively than passing the Affordable Care Act was, which took months to negotiate and even then only passed on a straight party line vote. Kline opined that the Senate, presumably still dominated by Democrats in the 113th Congress, could gradually add more uninsured citizens to the Medicare rolls via budget reconciliation and thereby gradually introduce a “de facto single payer system.”
“Democrats who just went through this would say, ‘okay, what we do now is you begin expanding Medicare, Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program though budget reconciliation,’” said Klein. “You do that year by year—5 million people here, 10 million people here.”
Klein says that gradually, the government will be covering the vast majority of people under the rubric of the presently available government run medical assistance programs until you get to, what is for all intents and purposes, a single payer health care model.
“It’s not a great way to move forward,” Klein admits. “It’s not quick and a lot of people are going to
Budget reconciliation is the parliamentary process by which budgetary items are passed in the Senate by a simple majority vote – Senate Democrats used reconciliation to pass the Affordable Care Act through the upper chamber after losing their super majority when Republican Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) won a January, 2010, special election to replace the late-Sen. Ted Kennedy (D-MA).
Perhaps conservatives should be more wary of what could happen if the Supreme Court does strike down the president’s signature health care law.
Watch the video below via MSNBC: