In the week following Scandalabra™ Weekend, when news of the IRS/Associated Press/Benghazi talking points stories exploded out of every orifice in the mainstream media news cycle, CNN’s May poll showed that President Obama’s approval rating had actually ticked up two points. Given the generally positive economic news of late, it seems obvious that the current drop, from 53% approval/45% disapproval to 45% approval/54% disapproval, is likely related to the news of NSA data collection programs. That’s the real trick, though: figuring out how much of it has to do with
Explaining the results of the new CNN/ORC poll, which showed a steep 17 point decline among 18-34 year-olds, King said “Remember how he won two elections, independents and young voters. Look at the numbers, a 17-point drop in his approval rating in just one month,” and added that “they don’t like people reading their e-mails, tapping their phone calls.”
The problem with that, of course, is that the NSA does not stand accused of “tapping” anyone’s phone calls, or of reading any American’s emails, under the programs that have been revealed in the past two weeks. The collection of telephone records is confined to phone numbers, call times, and locations, and a specific warrant is required to listen to phone calls. The Prism program, it has been revealed, consisted of legally obtained overseas internet information, stored on its own server, and requires a specific warrant to read any American’s emails. It’s fair to question the adequacy of the secret court that issues those warrants, but that’s not what John King was doing.
This is not to pick on John King, though, because he is not the only one who has been doing this. Ever since Scandalabra™ Weekend,
The truth is, these poll numbers are really bad, and there’s really no way to know how much of it is due to the substance of these revelations, and how much is due to the coverage. There are some clues, however. Since the NSA story broke, polls have consistently showed that Americans are pretty much fine with the trade-off between security and privacy, and this one is no exception. Fifty-one percent of Americans approve of the phone data collection, while 66% approve of the internet data collection and analysis, and 52% disapprove of leaker Ed Snowden‘s activities. A full 55% think the President has either gone just far enough, or should go even farther, in “restricting people’s civil liberties in order to fight terrorism.”
There’s also a secret embedded in the CNN poll that they
Nobody hates whining about “bias” more than I do, but that’s not what this is. This is misinformation, and given how much of it has been put out by the maonstream media, it’s a wonder the President’s approval has held up this well.