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Latest Nate Silver Stories

The Correspondent, Much-Hyped News Startup, Closes 15 Months After Launch

By Marisa SarnoffDec 10th
Nate Silver Defends Polls Amid Heavy Criticism for 2020 Misses: ‘I’m Amazed That Polls Are as Good as They Are’

By Charlie NashNov 11th
ABC News Panel Bursts Out Laughing After Nate Silver Casually Says Race Is Over: ‘Why Are We Still Here?!’

By Reed RichardsonNov 6th
Pressure Mounts on Networks to Declare Biden the Winner: ‘Call It. Just Call It!’

By Leia IdlibyNov 6th
Nate Silver, After Pushing for Retractions of Arizona Calls, Says Biden is Now ‘The More Likely Winner’

By Ken MeyerNov 6th
‘F*ck You, We Did a Good Job’: Nate Silver Says People ‘Have False Impressions About How Accurate Polls Are’

By Charlie NashNov 5th
Nate Silver Says Fox News and AP Projections For Biden in Arizona ‘Should Be Retracted Now’

By Joe DePaoloNov 4th
Nate Silver Says Trump Still Has Just a 7% Chance of Winning

By Aidan McLaughlinNov 4th
Nate Silver: Biden Arizona Win Would Erase ‘Bad News’ For Democrats And Make ‘Trump Underdog Again’

By KJ EdelmanNov 4th
UPDATE: Trump Still Holds Lead Over Biden On Major Betting Sites, But Race Tightening Up Heading Into Wednesday

By KJ EdelmanNov 3rd
Nate Silver Says Trump Win in Florida Triples Chances to Win Presidency: ‘First Step Toward a Trump Upset’

By KJ EdelmanNov 3rd
Nate Silver: ‘Without Pennsylvania, Biden Becomes an Underdog’ In the 2020 Election

By Ken MeyerNov 2nd
WATCH: SNL Cold Open Tackles Halloween, 2016, and Tuesday’s Election: ‘This Daylight Saving Time, Let’s Gain an Hour and Lose a President!’

By KJ EdelmanOct 31st
Nate Silver Says Trump Can Still Win But ‘A 2016-Style Polling Error Wouldn’t Be Enough’

By Josh FeldmanOct 31st
What Could Go Wrong? FiveThirtyEight Now Makes Joe Biden a Whopping 90 Percent Favorite

By Colby HallOct 31st
Fox’s Chris Wallace Throws Cold Water on the Prospect of Democrats Taking the Senate: ‘You Would Need a Blue Wave’

By Joe DePaoloOct 30th
Joe Biden Opens 10-Point Lead in New Pennsylvania Poll on Eve of First Debate

By Leia IdlibySep 29th
JUST IN: FiveThirtyEight Now Forecasts Democrats Will Win Control of Senate

By Charlie NashSep 18th
Nate Silver Says Trump Likely to Win Electoral College as Long as He Doesn’t Lose Popular Vote by More Than 3 Percent

By Rudy TakalaSep 2nd
Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight Gives Joe Biden a 71 Percent Chance of Beating Trump

By Charlie NashAug 12th
Nate Silver Warns Trump is ‘Discouraging Turnout’ Among His OWN Voters By Sowing Doubt in Mail-In Voting

By Charlie NashJul 20th
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver Destroys OAN for Cherrypicking Polls Favorable to Trump: ‘Not How Legitimate News Organizations Behave’

By KJ EdelmanJul 14th
House Democrat Warns Biden Win is Not a Lock: Polls Are Again ‘Fundamentally Undercounting’ Trump Vote

By KJ EdelmanJul 10th
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver Says Trump Has a Chance Despite Huge Current Poll Deficit: He Can ‘Absolutely Win’

By KJ EdelmanJun 22nd