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Latest Nate Silver Stories

Nate Silver Says Fox News and AP Projections For Biden in Arizona ‘Should Be Retracted Now’

By Joe DePaoloNov 4th
Nate Silver Says Trump Still Has Just a 7% Chance of Winning

By Aidan McLaughlinNov 4th
Nate Silver: Biden Arizona Win Would Erase ‘Bad News’ For Democrats And Make ‘Trump Underdog Again’

By KJ EdelmanNov 4th
UPDATE: Trump Still Holds Lead Over Biden On Major Betting Sites, But Race Tightening Up Heading Into Wednesday

By KJ EdelmanNov 3rd
Nate Silver Says Trump Win in Florida Triples Chances to Win Presidency: ‘First Step Toward a Trump Upset’

By KJ EdelmanNov 3rd
Nate Silver: ‘Without Pennsylvania, Biden Becomes an Underdog’ In the 2020 Election

By Ken MeyerNov 2nd
WATCH: SNL Cold Open Tackles Halloween, 2016, and Tuesday’s Election: ‘This Daylight Saving Time, Let’s Gain an Hour and Lose a President!’

By KJ EdelmanOct 31st
Nate Silver Says Trump Can Still Win But ‘A 2016-Style Polling Error Wouldn’t Be Enough’

By Josh FeldmanOct 31st
What Could Go Wrong? FiveThirtyEight Now Makes Joe Biden a Whopping 90 Percent Favorite

By Colby HallOct 31st
Fox’s Chris Wallace Throws Cold Water on the Prospect of Democrats Taking the Senate: ‘You Would Need a Blue Wave’

By Joe DePaoloOct 30th
Joe Biden Opens 10-Point Lead in New Pennsylvania Poll on Eve of First Debate

By Leia IdlibySep 29th
JUST IN: FiveThirtyEight Now Forecasts Democrats Will Win Control of Senate

By Charlie NashSep 18th
Nate Silver Says Trump Likely to Win Electoral College as Long as He Doesn’t Lose Popular Vote by More Than 3 Percent

By Rudy TakalaSep 2nd
Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight Gives Joe Biden a 71 Percent Chance of Beating Trump

By Charlie NashAug 12th
Nate Silver Warns Trump is ‘Discouraging Turnout’ Among His OWN Voters By Sowing Doubt in Mail-In Voting

By Charlie NashJul 20th
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver Destroys OAN for Cherrypicking Polls Favorable to Trump: ‘Not How Legitimate News Organizations Behave’

By KJ EdelmanJul 14th
House Democrat Warns Biden Win is Not a Lock: Polls Are Again ‘Fundamentally Undercounting’ Trump Vote

By KJ EdelmanJul 10th
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver Says Trump Has a Chance Despite Huge Current Poll Deficit: He Can ‘Absolutely Win’

By KJ EdelmanJun 22nd
More Americans Disapprove of Trump Than Any President at This Point in Their Term: FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver

By KJ EdelmanJun 2nd
Nate Silver Whacks Media for Reporting on ‘Rise’ in Coronavirus Cases; Axios Seems to Agree

By Rudy TakalaMay 7th
MSNBC’s Chris Hayes Floats Conspiracy That Trump Admin Inflated Death Projections to Take ‘Victory Lap’ When Final Total Was Lower

By Caleb HoweApr 8th
Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight Has Biden as a Near Lock, 88% Chance at Delegate Majority Compared to Bernie’s 2%

By Tommy ChristopherMar 6th
Nate Silver Says Bloomberg is Slipping in Polls After Debates: He’s in ‘A Lot of Trouble’

By Charlie NashFeb 26th
Bernie is Now 50/50 to Win Nomination as Biden’s Chances Crater: Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight

By Charlie NashFeb 6th