This is news?

Rick Perry can assure you that he’s not dry.

Rick Perry isn’t smart enough to be elected dogcatcher. 

It is a LITTLE bit of news, in a few small but significant ways. 

Firstly, funding for Perry has come from two sources: the community of his core wealthy backers in Texas – a very regional very tribal group whose tribal language can best be appreciated with how relaxed & animated Perry was in that so-called “drunk” speech, because the big takeaway was that he was like that with THEM, but is not like that with any other group – a GOP rank and file, mostly from the Southern largely religious right base. So, if this news is accurate – IF meaning there’s a big caveat – then the picure is that funding was ALREADY drying up, which is why Perry NEEDED to do well in that “drunk” speech with his wealthy tribal backers, because the other component, the religios, are the ones most subject to being accurately reflected in polling – and even before the “drunk” speech & the Perry moment, Perry was polling horribly. 

Secondly, money raising is every bit as volatile and MORE so than polling. If Perry somehow turns these last two debates & his tour of the TV talk shows into a POSITIVE, then he could not have picked a better moment for doing so, because Creepy Cain, who we know did very well both in polling & money raising until the last week or so, when the sexual harassment & abuse stories started emerging, is on his way down, so there’ll be lots of money that HAS been going to Creepy Cain that now will go somewhere else.

So, if the Perry wealthy tribal backers & the religious right base both see him climbing out of a hole, while Creepy Cain is falling down into an adjacent hole, November will see a big turnaround for Perry.

Here’s the big caveat: This is NOT how the spin when with reporter Jon Karl, so now you have to consider why he’s there, an ABC reporter reporting on an ABC Sunday Republican show (which they all are, Republican that is), reporting, as Tatboy implies, on basically a nothing, conventional wisdom type item.

I think the answer lies in identifying which dog the owners of ABC are backing in this fight. The owner is basically the Disney group, now under Robert Iger, who also is on the ABC board, so guess who really runs the thing. They are really not entertainment people, but more financial people, and the financial world is not where Perry is from or who his wealthy tribal backers are connected to. This is the California branch of Wall Street, so their interests lie with candidates wired into Wall Street, which would mean certainly Obama to some extent going back to 2008, but according to everything we get from POLITICO & the WSJ, no longer, not since Boehner & McConnell went to Wall Street during the 2010 midterms & comitted to forcing Congress to do anything Wall Street wanted to do to secure Wall Street financial backing. So, were back to Karl Rove’s boy: Mitt Romney.

That is: Jon Karl was acting here as an operative in a Karl Rove drive-by hit to prevent any impression of a comeback from Perry to take advantage of  this big vacuum in polling and fund raising that’s going to first be apparent in November from the downhill slide of Creepy Cain. 

This is the only real significance to the Sunday political talk shows: to take diagnostics on the state of the Republican party & what the dynamics are in there. Tatboy is right in thinking this is not REALLY big deal, but what it looks like is Rove & Mittens are now figuring they are stuck at around a quarter of the GOP base support and they have to find some way to make that work – the best way being to go around the triage tent where the Not Romneys are being attended to and just jiggle the equipment & screw around with the meds schedule. It doesn’t mean Mittens is really really scared of Perry comeback, but it does mean that Rove takes more seriously the prospect of a Perry comeback than Creepy Cain being able to sustain or Gingrich being able to suddenly find a ground game between now and the early primaries – mostly because Perry has a ground game & neither Creepy Cain nor Newt have one.

Rick Perry’s fundraising is dryer than Ann Coulter’s nether regions.

Picture tumbleweeds rolling down an 8-lane freeway.

Except for the fact that he’s been elected governor of Texas three times in a row and before that to other important state offices and that he’s actually never lost an election.

Yeah, he’s not book smart and not talking smart, but he’s not stupid and he’s the single most ruthless politician in American politics. Go to the Texas newspapers & political magazines & just check on all the outrageous stunts he’s pulled off in the past to win elections. The guy has been behind the polls before, written off as dead before, time & again, and time & again he’s found some way to make a comeback & not just a comeback but to WIN, every time. Rove knows as well as anyone what a treacherous animal he’s got up against him in Perry & Rove is Mitt’s point man in this battle. Perry may not WIN this time, but it won’t be for giving up or not trying – he’s going to come up with some really disturbing stunts – stunts that will make the “not a Christian” shot & the immigrant Hispanic lawn care workers shot look pretty minor – and Rove knows it.

Fundraising has dried up, leaving Perry with about $15 million in the bank.  Face it, Perry got a late start and he’s getting knocked around at the debates, but he has more money than anyone and while liberal journalists would like to force him out of the race, even they know the opera aint over til he’s spent on the television ad buy money. 

It’s just like Hillary and Barack.  Mathmatically, it was impossible for Hillary to catch him, but the media outlets kept her in the race to get the extra ad dollars she had.  Finished up a few hundred delegates short of the nomination and up to her ears in debt.

Being elected Governor of Texas is not a plus as even a doofus like W had the job.

“…and while liberal journalists would like to force him out of the race…”

That’s an entirely illogical statement. Perry’s high wire performance act is one of the things that’s keeping eyeballs on these debates, in the same way that audiences have been drawn to the Broadway musical “Spiderman” hoping to see someone slip and break their necks. It’s all about the spectacle and Perry provides plenty.

He came ill prepared to the party and it showed.

http://www.thestate.com/2011/11/11/2043198/video-rick-perry-interview-today.html#storylink=addthis
24 minute interview after the SC Veteran’s Day Parade
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1) Jonathan Karl sure delivered a drive-by whack when he said this on This Week on Sunday.  ultimate anonymous sources?  Online, ABC and Mark Halperin of Time have been the most fair in their coverage of Gov. Perry. 
 
2) If anyone took the time to follow the news posted at Gov. Perry’s campaign website, you would get the impression that he has established quite a network of small business owner bundlers, far from Texas.  All those Texas donors also have extensive networks of their own. A lot of military veterans are also small business owners.  Since Allbaugh came on board, fundraisers have not been reported.  Does not mean they are not happening. 
Loose lips sink ships…

3) Governors in office are very restricted  because of  regulations on campaign donations from financial institutions when there are municipal bonds involved.  Really helps to be unemployed when running for the nomination, or a member of Congress.

A ton of money is sitting on the sidelines, on both sides of the aisle.   

Romney flatlines in the polls, so wonder how that’s working out these days for the richest guy in the room.

As for the game show debates?  Well, sure looks like Perry’s been “workin’ on it”.   A very fast learner when you consider how difficult it is to do so much in the first ten weeks, including boots on the ground in Iowa and New Hampshire. 

Next forum is Nov. 19 afternoon in the Iowa Thanksgiving roundtable moderated by Frank Luntz.  livestream only with the five who have respected Iowa at the National Association of Manufacturers/Iowa Public TV Forum (best Q&A format!) in Pella, and the annual Iowa GOP Ronald Reagan dinner (C-Span), plus Mr. Cain.     

Estmated 5.3 million viewers of CBS debate last night versus 3.3 million for the CNBC debate – and anyone who was watching Wednesday night knew that Perry was doing just fine until he turned to look at Ron Paul…

observations from the disillusioned dem in NYC.

My inner grandma just cringed and said “O dear Lord,” in response to your anhydrous metaphor. LOL

Schadenfreude.