1. Mediaite
  2. Gossip Cop
  3. Geekosystem
  4. Styleite
  5. SportsGrid
  6. The Mary Sue
  7. The Jane Dough
  8. The Braiser
Advertisement

Public Policy Polling: Ron Paul Now The Frontrunner In Iowa

» 60 comments

Dem pollster Public Policy Polling has a new poll out showing Republican presidential candidate Ron Paul surging in Iowa, just weeks before the state’s caucuses. The polling firm found Paul leading the pack, with 23% in the Hawkeye State, with Mitt Romney not too far behind at 20%. Newt Gingrich‘s grasp of the state is starting to slip away, with the former Speaker of the House polling at 14%. Though, perhaps curiously, the poll hypothesizes that a horde of independent voters will register Republican to caucus for Paul.

PPP has more:

Newt Gingrich’s campaign is rapidly imploding, and Ron Paul has now taken the lead in Iowa. He’s at 23% to 20% for Mitt Romney, 14% for Gingrich, 10% each for Rick Santorum, Michele Bachmann, and Rick Perry, 4% for Jon Huntsman, and 2% for Gary Johnson.

Gingrich has now seen a big drop in his Iowa standing two weeks in a row. His share of the vote has gone from 27% to 22% to 14%. And there’s been a large drop in his personal favorability numbers as well from +31 (62/31) to +12 (52/40) to now -1 (46/47). Negative ads over the last few weeks have really chipped away at Gingrich’s image as being a strong conservative- now only 36% of voters believe that he has ‘strong principles,’ while 43% think he does not.

Paul’s ascendancy is a sign that perhaps campaigns do matter at least a little, in a year where there has been a lot of discussion about whether they still do in Iowa. 22% of voters think he’s run the best campaign in the state compared to only 8% for Gingrich and 5% for Romney. The only other candidate to hit double digits on that question is Bachmann at 19%. Paul also leads Romney 26-5 (with Gingrich at 13%) with the 22% of voters who say it’s ‘very important’ that a candidate spends a lot of time in Iowa. Finally Paul leads Romney 29-19 among the 26% of likely voters who have seen one of the candidates in person.

Hot Air’s Ed Morrissey is skeptical about the poll’s good news for Paul. “There is no doubt that Paul was picking up some momentum in this race, but the PPP poll seems way too problematic for any conclusions about its current state.”

Unlikely Voter’s Neil Stevens also casts doubt upon the legitimacy of the poll. “Do we really think a horde of Independents who hate the Republican Party will show up at the last minute, register Republican, and caucus for hours with Republicans? I don’t buy it, and neither should Iowa Republicans.”

(h/t Hot Air)

Follow us on Twitter.

Sign up for Mediaite's daily newsletter.

Email Twitter Facebook Digg Reddit Stumble Upon Yahoo Buzz LinkedIn Tumblr Delicious
  • http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/630-E-Lovell-Dr-Troy-MI-48085/24509418_zpid/ Louisa Gismonde Calcaterra

    Oh crap!!
     
    I wonder what useless bullshit the ‘baggers at Fox “News” will come up with to discredit Paul today!  I’m guessing that pathetic little pansy Wallace will have a nervous breakdown any….minute…..now……………………
     
    LOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • Mo Fokker

    Good. Reject establishment Republicans who care only about protecting the wealthy; expanding the military industrial complex; and occasionally throwing a bone to fundies on their pet social issues.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_DS7TB7H57HI2724UWYNX36OL3A Kill

    Despite that the mainstream media has tried to suppress his message, Ron Paul is in first place. The old media is dying. The new media (internet-based) will get the message out.

    The old media can’t dictate who will be president any longer, and they’re pissed. :-)

    Ron Paul 2012.

  • Anonymous

    Haha. When the polls don’t go your way discredit them. The desperation to downplay how Americans feel about Congressman Paul is laughable.

    Ron Paul 2012

  • The Real Royal Emperor

    It wouldn’t surprise me. He has to be worn out after serving Willard bowl after bowl of soft serve yesterday.

  • The Real Royal Emperor

    I’m glad to see the Republican front-runner changing hourly now. It was getting a bit dull to have the same front-runner for an entire day.

  • Anonymous

    Tell, us son, just which of Paul positions do ya support?

    His position to cut capital gains taxes?  To eliminate the EPA? To repeal Obamcare?  To repeal the Brady and the Assault weapons laws? To increase drilling in the US and eliminate road blocks to coal and nuclear energy? To balaance the budget? To enforce anti-immigration laws? To pass Right to Work Laws to curb the abuses of unions?

    I support these, do you or do you just want to trash FOX with your  outdated and worn out lib TPs?

  • Anonymous

    wow- your  obsolete sophomoric political  cliches had an expiration date in the 1960s, son!

  • Mo Fokker

    The following article about MIke Pence, illustrates the type of Republican you are trying to elect, while simultaneously calling yourself small government.
    http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2010/07/31/110832/pence-extra-engine/

  • Anonymous

    ThinkProgress?

    Bawahaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

    Well, if that left-wing rag says it, it must be true!

    LMAO

    What, “The Daily Worker” was unavailable?

  • Mo Fokker

    The video is from the Bloomberg business network. You don’t need to read the article

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u1ANmWtdsQ8&feature=player_embedded

  • Anonymous

    You DO have to wonder about the caucus thing…

  • Anonymous

    Better start teaching grandma how to use the computer then

  • http://www.occupywallst.org (CAR)

    If elected;

    Michelle Bachman and Rick Santorum would go to war immediately with Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran, Syria, China, and Palestine.

    Rick Perry would go to war with only Iran and possibly put troops back in Iraq, the afghan war would go on indefinitely.

    Newt and Romney would go to war with Iran, and possibly enter into a cold war with China.

    Huntsman would take Obama’s stance.

    And Ron Paul would bring all troops home and close all military bases around the world. He would only go to war if there was an undeniable act of war as deemed by congress.

    This is why Ron Paul is surging in the polls. 

  • Anonymous

    BEACH & CONNERS JOIN VOICES IN SUPPORT OF THE F-35 JOINT STRIKE FIGHTER PROGRAM”

    (TRENTON)
    – New Jersey Sen. James Beach (D-Camden) and Assemblyman Jack Conners (D-Camden/Burlington) on Tuesday voiced their support to the F-35 Joint
    Strike Fighter Program.

    Beach and Conners, in their capacities as Chairmen of the Senate and Assembly Military and Veterans’ Affairs Committees, noted the program’s importance to the New Jersey National Guard and its economic impact as chief among their reasons for support.

    “Here in New Jersey, the development of the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter Jet will account for an anticipated 1,000 direct and indirect jobs and a $60 million annual economic impact” Beach said.

    “Additionally, the aircraft’s ability to counter current and future threats will ensure the technological superiority of the air defense offerings of our Marines, Navy and Air Force.”

    “Replacing our fleet of legacy aircraft, currently older
    than at any point in history, this fifth generation aircraft will offer our Armed Forces essential modernizations in intelligence gathering, surveillance, reconnaissance, and command systems,” Conners said.

    The F-35 affords the United States and its allies a tactical
    air advantage for detecting and engaging threats with advanced radar and other detection capabilities that has been fundamental to military strategy since World War II.”

    You were saying something about Repubs being for the F-35?

  • Mo Fokker

    That is why you need to elect Ron Paul to shake things up. We need to transition some defense contractor employees to REAL private industry jobs  whose companies aren’t dependent on government.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_WH3ZLMM7CUKUHUIMK4TKXW6SQE John

    The newest Insider Poll has Paul up 24% to 18% over Romney.  It’s insane that every media outlet is doing there best to discredit a poll showing Ron Paul winning.  Mediaite should call these media outlets out, not regurgitate their propaganda.

    BTW-  It’s just now coming out that Mitt Romney dodged the Vietnam draft to live in a palace in France.  Ouch.

    http://nationalmemo.com/article/strange-true-mitt-romney-spent-vietnam-war-french-palace

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_XTP7HX46BXK2MWEWVCASYSGIBA RantNationDotCom

    Ron Paul or Busted!

  • Charles Ulysses Feney

    It is just as Gandhi said:

    “First they ignore you,
    …..Then the laugh at you,
    ……….Then they fight you,
    …………………Then you win!”

    Ron Paul will be a great President!

  • Anonymous

    listen Nancy Grace, you should really stop using SON your only making yourself look like a tool, and im glad you finally stopped using winning because Charlie Sheen has been asking for that back and you were not winning anything.

  • WiddleBabyDanielson

    Ha!

  • WiddleBabyDanielson

    How about giving a list of acceptable rags,

    “GRAMPS”

  • http://twitter.com/buzzfisher1 Buzz Fisher

    Let’s make Paul the frontrunner on iTunes too! Join the Ron Paul iTunes bomb from now until Christmas Day and LET FREEDOM SING!

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VE30TH6Y7cI

    http://itunesbomb.com

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Jj-Wisniewski/100002654075475 Jj Wisniewski

    Yeah!!!!!!!. Paul doesn’t care if some of his views and posiitions transcend both parties and independents. I hope this continues and gives him traction in New Hamshire. Not only are his young supporters energized by him, but also independents and older voters like myself. I’m 67 and before this cycle, I didn’t pay too much attention, but the more I’ve listened to Paul in the debates, on talk shows, and media interviews, the more I agree with his positions. He’s definately won me over. I know that the base of the republican party will try to label him as dangerous, as Bachmann tried with her damn lies. Yes, lies. The Irananians never said they would use nukes on Israel and US. Of course, that doesnt mean that they wouldn’t, but has never been said in any public statement. Besides, why are we with Israel as if we were joined at the hip. It’s Israel which has the security issues, not us. Don’t be fooled by the Neo-Cons who would like to invade every country on the basis that they have different values than the US.  Enough of the freakin interventionist policies from both Bush and Obama. Let the Middle East implode on its own. If we started to implement a comprehensive energy strategy back in 1974, right after the Arab Oil Embargo, we  wouldn’t need to worry about the Middle East. We went into Iraq and accomplished absolutely nothing. Saddam Hussein was never a threat to our homeland and was a counter to the Iranians. Now you have power vacuum which is being filled by Iran and its surragates. We’ll never get any reimbursement from Iraq for the lives lost, families destroyed and thousands who will need care, both physical ad emotional for years and years to come, not even speaking the $2 trillions in cost. Now, we’re leaving $120 billion of military equipment in Iraq. This was a debacle. The so called Shock n Awe, looked like amateur fireworks show.  There have been 12 oil contracts entered into by Iraq, but they have been with China and Europeans, but none with the US. This war was nearly as useless as Vietnam and the only reason I say nearly is because Vietnam, despite our intervenrtion is doing well and we lost 58,000 troops in Vietnam comared to 4,800 in Iraq. But, even losing one soldier in a useless war is one too many.

  • http://twitter.com/HighlyRandom Highly Random

    great news!!! lets keep it going, time to start focusing on new hampshire!!!

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_WH3ZLMM7CUKUHUIMK4TKXW6SQE John
  • NadePaulKuciGravMcKi

    all HONEST polls are now indicating a Ron Paul Landslide.
    there is no trust in any of the other GOP puppet candidates
     
    bloodthirsty AIPAC Neocon control of government & media

  • Anonymous

    Ron Paul vs Supporting the Troops

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mj_H5di12wM

  • Anonymous

    You!

    LMAO

  • Anonymous

    LOL

    I struck a nerve in another benighted lib.

    Shut up, you will never be the man your mother is , son!

    Go back to your job in the Army as a latrine specialist, sonny!

  • Anonymous

    sorry but your overused lib thing does not work with me, I dont care for liberals conservatives democrats or republicans just people who have open minds and dont sound like puppets like you do. Sorry while I was fighting in this war you were making stupid comments like that one. How about trying to join the military before speaking. Even the so called latrine specialist have more say on these issues than you do and at least they are serving this country. So your welcome nancy grace that you get to make ignorant comments like you always do.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_WH3ZLMM7CUKUHUIMK4TKXW6SQE John

    I’m watching CNN and FOX to see how they report the two newest polls showing Ron Paul winning in Iowa…..and they are not even mentioning the polls at all.  CNN couldn’t even say Ron Paul’s name during a long report from Iowa.  It was somehow all about Romney and Gingrich with the reporter seeming to hint that Romney was doing best.  I hate conspiracy theorists…. but this is the twilight zone .

  • Anonymous

    Get me my coffee, son .

    “Sorry while I was fighting in this war you were making stupid comments like that one”

    Sprae me, the only action you saw was in the Cinema X theater.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_DNMVQZCXFQTDIGILG354Q727YY Roma Victor

    Way to punk Foghorn Leghorn.

  • Anonymous

    Oh look, it is my portable latrine, Roma!

  • Anonymous

    Nancy Grace im going to end this here because you sound like an ignorant 13 year old. You can keep posting your ignorant comments because that is what you are very very good at. Your comments provide absolutely nothing because you really have nothing to say except for SON and lib this lib that. I have been deployed serving this country so I know what the hell im talking about while you get to sit on your couch all damn day and say pathetic things. Again you saying son in every single post makes you look like a tool. 

  • Anonymous

    Ron Paul was born years too late!  He would have been the ideal candidate to run against Andrew Jackson in 1828. The Cherokee Indians would never have been forcibly removed from the southeastern states to Oklahoma along the “Trail of Tears”.

  • Anonymous

    Then you folks just go right ahead and nominate Ron Paul.  Should be a big winner for you.

    Who wouldn’t vote for a crazy old guy?

  • Anonymous

    And yours expired in the 1980′s.

  • Anonymous

    How did Nancy Grace get into the discussion?  Her support will go to the Presidental candidate who advocates abolishing trials and executing anybody the police accuse of a crime.  She even supports the death penalty for people who get a parking ticket!

  • Anonymous

    Michele Bachmann set the record in August.  She was the front runner for two days until she posed for the cameras munching on a corn dog!

  • Anonymous

    Ron Paul is surging because he was on Jay Leno’s Show on Friday Night. 

  • Anonymous

    its because her picture looks like Nancy Grace

  • http://twitter.com/lesterhalfjr Chris Hadrick

    I guess war with Iran isn’t as popular with republicans as they thought.

  • Anonymous

    What a crybaby ArmySrong is. I hope our Army isn’t as weak as he.

    “I don’t like that you say “son.”

    Man up, son-  I will address people however I wish, including you.

    You are  a pompous, transparent, sciolist  who thinks because he served in the Army that he is omniscient. 

    Well, news to you, I read your comments and you are anything but.

    My referring to people as “son” does not alter the
    substance of my comments and your sophomoric attack deserved the response you received, son.

     Post the “ignorant” comments I posted that started your whining over what I called people?

     
    Go ahead, post’em.
    And if you have nothing to do but whine over how I address people then get out a crying rag.
    Your jejune statements are a poor reflection on you  .

  • Anonymous

    Try again, son.

  • http://www.facebook.com/evan.eberhardt Evan Eberhardt

    My wife and I have done exactly that.  We switched from Independent to Republican to vote for Ron Paul and NO ONE else.  I suspect there will be many more.  

  • Anonymous

    Where are the tea party elected cost hawks? Here is the facts on the F35
    The United States intends to buy a total of 2,443 aircraft for an estimated $323 billion, making it the most expensive defense program ever. The United States Air Force (USAF) budget data in 2010, along with other sources, projects the F-35 to have a flyaway cost from $89 million to $200 million over the planned production of F-35s. Cost estimates have risen to $382 billion for 2,443 aircraft, at an average of $156 million each. The rising program cost estimates have cast doubt on the actual number to be produced for the U.S. In January 2011, the F-35B variant was placed on “probation” for two years because of development problems. In February 2011, the Pentagon put a price of $207.6 million for each of the 32 aircraft to be acquired in FY2012, rising to $304.15 million

    This is just one defense project. If we have cost overruns like this in all of our projects its no wonder we have House and Senate members on the take and the Tea Party members are slowly becoming just another face in the Washington main stream.

  • http://mediamatters.org/ Leedog

    New Republican flavor of the week: Ron Paul!!

  • Jackson Baer

    Ron Paul will win Iowa and then either win New Hampshire or come in a very close second to Romney. Either way, he has a legitimate chance to win the Republican nomination. What will the Republicans do? They can’t stand Paul because of his foreign policy.

    RON PAUL 2012

    http://www.whatthehellbook.com/the-book/

  • Jackson Baer

    Ron Paul will win Iowa and then either win New Hampshire or come in a very close second to Romney. Either way, he has a legitimate chance to win the Republican nomination. What will the Republicans do? They can’t stand Paul because of his foreign policy.

    RON PAUL 2012

    http://www.whatthehellbook.com/the-book/

  • jmsptrk

    His steady gains say otherwise. http://i.imgur.com/YMYit.jpg

  • jmsptrk

    “What will the Republicans do?”

    Eat a sh*t sandwich. God I love it. Go RP.

  • jmsptrk
  • jmsptrk

    Suck it, dad.

  • Anonymous

    The Ron Paul iTunes Bomb (Dec 16-25) http://itunesbomb.com

  • http://www.occupywallst.org (CAR)

    Ron Paul is surging because he is the only one that hasn’t tried to sell his soul to the Extremist Republicans that even Republicans hate.

    He is an honest man or at least unchanging – he’s been preaching the exact same message for 30 years and no one has been able to shut him up. “Close the bases, end the wars, cut the spending drastically, cut the size of government to live within our means” Whether his ideas are great is besides the point. Anytime someone says cut up your credit card and move in with your mom, I don’t think people will like to hear that.

    It’s his turn to rise and now he’s number 1 in Iowa. If the Republicans hasd any other honest people running (John Huntsman) they might be surging too.

  • Anonymous

    I’m a registered Republican although I vote as an independent because in my state you cannot register as an independent. I think Ron Paul would make a fantastic president, the best we have had in many years. He is the most stable of all the candidates and has the most common sense. He never flip flops, what you see, is what you get. 

  • Anonymous

    My question is why do we need the F-35 Strike Fighter ?
    Our present aircraft can be rebuilt and updated for much less. Even some of the older aircraft from the 50′s & 60′s & 70′s could be refurbished with new electronics and radar. Are we planning to bomb another country or start another war ? The F-35 is a strike fighter, it has one purpose, to drop bombs on someone and kill as many people as possible. We should be building defensive aircraft not offensive bombers. Our defense starts at our borders not at a foreign nations territory. Terrorist don’t fly or drive around in tanks or other armored vehicles. We have no national threat since the Soviet Union collapsed. If we didn’t occupy so many foreign countries, we wouldn’t have so many enemies and our economy wouldn’t be in shambles. In the 1950′s the cost of a super sonic fighter was less than 1 million dollars.

  • http://www.facebook.com/scrosnoe Sandra Crosnoe

    why is anyone still watching faux news?

© 2012 Mediaite, LLC | About Us | Advertise | Newsletter | Jobs | Privacy | User Agreement | Disclaimer | Power Grid FAQ | Contact | Archives | RSS RSS
Dan Abrams, Founder | Power Grid by Sound Strategies | Hosting by Datagram