Trump STILL Leads in Two National Post-Conviction Polls

Isaac SchorrJun 6th, 2024, 11:39 am
 

(AP Photo/Charles Krupa)

Former President and presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump still enjoys a national polling lead over President Joe Biden according to two surveys taken since he was convicted on 34 counts of falsifying business records last Thursday.

In the first, a national tracking poll — meaning that it measures the attitudes of a certain selection of voters over time — conducted by Morning Consult, Trump boasts a 44%-43% lead over Biden, with 8% of respondents indicating that they intend on voting for another candidate, such as Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and an additional 5% saying they were unsure of who they might cast their ballot for this November. Trump also leads with independents by a 1-point margin, 35%-34%.

In the second poll, conducted by Emerson University, Trump holds yet another 1% lead, 46%-45%. However, when voters are given the opportunity to say they support Kennedy or another third party candidate, the former president’s lead balloons to 6 points, 44%-38%.

The results are notable because they speak to the extent to which Trump’s conviction might hinder his chances of retaking the White House, which he has been favored to do for the last several months since effectively securing the GOP nomination.

According to a New York Times report published in the immediate aftermath of Trump’s trial, “scores” of Biden’s “allies” are planning on referring to Trump as a “felon” for the remainder of the campaign.

“Donald Trump has always mistakenly believed he would never face consequences for breaking the law for his own personal gain,” said Biden campaign communications director Michael Tyler shortly after the guilty verdict came down.

But the verdict may not have the political effect Democrats were hoping because of the perception of the case made against Trump. According to CNN senior legal analyst Elie Honig, it was an “ill-conceived, unjustified mess” that “contorted the law in an unprecedented manner.”

Notably, Trump won the Electoral College in 2016 despite losing the national popular vote and came very close winning reelection even though he lost the popular vote by an even larger margin.

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