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That Was Fast! Post-Health Care, Public Prefers GOP In November

» 29 comments

The Democrats’ extremely short health care honeymoon appears to be over. Late last week, just days after the endlessly talked about bill was passed, just-released poll numbers that suggested the country had done and about-face on health care (and Obama) had the Democrats crowing. Suddenly the November elections did not look so glum. Well that was last week. This week, according to Gallup, voters are apparently back to preferring the GOP candidate.

Registered voters now say they prefer the Republican to the Democratic candidate in their district by 47% to 44% in the midterm congressional elections, the first time the GOP has led in 2010 election preferences since Gallup began weekly tracking of these in March.

According to Politico’s Mike Allen “reporters are flummoxed — few expected this.” The beltway media failing to take the temperature of the nation…shocking. Anyway, yes, it’s a small margin, but here’s the rub (or the gain, depending):

A Republican advantage among all registered voters in midterm elections has been rare in Gallup’s 60-year history of tracking congressional voting preferences, happening only a few times each in the 1950, 1994, and 2002 election cycles — all years in which Republicans had strong Election Day showings.

Of course, this could just be the runoff effect of the saturating media coverage of the HCR debate which primarily focused on polemics. Says USA Today, which breaks down a variety of the results, says the Americans “seem disaffected about nearly everything political.” No doubt. Good thing the baseball season is nearly upon us.

Related: Was HCR Actually That Unpopular, Or Did The Media Make It So?

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  • http://www.anonymousfinch.com AnonymousFinch

    The media does not know how to read polls. The bump that Obama got last week was just that, a bump. The numbers were very similar to the bump he got after the State of Union. If you look at the internals of the polls, in both cases independents and Republicans did not move at all. Both bumps were purely the result of disaffected Democrats temporarily being pleased because Obama temporarily did not look as . . . as . . . how should I put this? . . . Carteresque. But unless he can win back independents, such bumps will happen from time to time, but they will be fleeting.

    Also, the media loves to cite Gallup because it the oldest polling organization, but it’s methodology is deeply flawed in many ways. Rasmussen is, by any objective account, the most accurate pollster out there at the moment. That having been said, there is still value to Gallup since its been using the same methodology (flawed though it is) for more than 50 years. So when Gallup’s generic Congressional ballot starts looking like it did in 1994, that does say something.

  • taxed

    Not a surprise. When people finally wake up and realize that we are bankrupt, they will need to elect strong conservatives that start slashing entitlement programs, useless govt. agencies, and run the country like a business.

    Don’t get me wrong, both parties are to blame for the situation we are in now. However, Obama and company are taking it to a whole new level.

  • Smithy

    @ AnonymousFinch says: :” Rasmussen is, by any objective account, the most accurate pollster out there at the moment. ”

    Correct. And Rasmussen has had the Republicans ahead of the Democrats for 9 straight months, and currently has Republicans ahead by 7 points:
    “Generic Congressional Ballot
    Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 46%, Democrats 39%”
    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot

    Excellent post, btw.

  • same2u

    Taxed,
    the issue isn’t whether we get you wrong, the issue is whether we care what you say.

    Smithy,
    Why are you posting here again and how did you lose your avatar?

  • Grammie

    The HCB is definitely NOT like a bottle of fine wine.

    Rather, it is that bottle of cheap wine that has turned to vinegar and only gets more sour by the day..

  • Caryson

    I am surprised that the WH didn’t put out a statement that says, The poll results after the passing of ObamaCare were UNEXPECTED!

    Every thing in this administration is UNEXPECTED!

    Wake up! This WH does internal polling every day. They knew that this issue was a loser from day one!

    They know exactly what unemployment numbers are before they are officially issued. They will tell you they are UNEXPECTED.

    Do they care?

    Me thinks not!

    BHO is throwing his own party under the bus.

    See you at the voting booth in November !

  • Olby Sucks

    I agree and care what everyone says above me except, “same2u.”

  • same2u

    Okay how about this,

    The healthcare bill is a reflection of why the Democrats are the ONLY true pro-life party; the bill will never be overturned.

  • TylerDurdin

    hahaha!

    So long libs!

  • same2u

    Or maybe you agree with this from President Sarkozy of France:

    “Welcome to the club of states who don’t turn their back on the sick and the poor,”

  • Olby Sucks

    The health care “reform” bill hasn’t been funded, yet.

  • Smithy

    More “good news” for 0bama. This time from Gallup.

    ABC News:
    “Poll: More Blame Obama for Poor Economy, Unemployment(50% oppose his reelection)”
    http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/poll-blame-obama-poor-economy-unemployment/story?id=10251941

    CNN:
    “Fifty-four percent of people questioned say Obama will lose if he runs for re-election in 2012, with 44 percent saying the president would win a second term.”
    http://www.cnn.com/search/?query=tied&primaryType=mixed

  • taxed

    same2u just needs to be taken care of that is all. As any other lib, he needs his hand to be held and for the govt. provide for him.

  • The Real Royal King

    Grammie says:
    April 1, 2010 at 11:46 am

    The HCB is definitely NOT like a bottle of fine wine.

    Rather, it is that bottle of cheap wine that has turned to vinegar and only gets more sour by the day..

    It is, indeed, an imperfect bill. However, it is a start to building the kind of nation we can all be even prouder of. Gosh, Jeff Merrill might even enlist and give more credence to his “Let’s bomb everyone!,” stance. Somehow, service by going to returning home parties never struck me as much service. But, seriously, Janet, don’t you think your sourness and negativity is in some measure the result of you being on Medicare and not having to have the daily worry of providing medical care to your children. I really tire of the selfishness involved.

  • Smithy

    @ The Real Royal King says: :”It is, indeed, an imperfect bill. However, it is a start to building the kind of nation we can all be even prouder of”

    That’s like saying that building a house with it’s foundations in sand, will only make the house even more stable and stronger with time. In reality, the first storm will blow the house of it’s base and send it crashing down.
    0bamacare is by far the most corrupt, sleazy, illegal-back- room- deal infested, most partisan, most socialistic bill ever passed in this country, over the very strong objections of most American voters.
    You simply cannot take over 17% of the American economy against the will of the people, and get away with it. You can only govern with the consent of the gorvened.
    The Democrats will pay a very heavy price for this outrage come November and 2012. We don’t forget, and we don’t back down, and we continue to fight till the Marxist is out of the White House.

  • Olby Sucks

    You know it’s a crappy bill when the president has to go on tour defending it AFTER it has been signed!

    John Boehner- 2012!

  • The Real Royal King

    Can you name a major piece of legislation or a major policy initiative in which the president, directly or indirectly, through the Administration, didn’t go about touting it, Jeff? I think everyone in W’s Privy Council was out trying to sell the Invasion and Occupation of Iraq.

  • felixw

    No surprise that the voters have lost confidence in the Democrats. But the fact that the media is shocked by this tells you how out of touch they are. Maybe they should stop listening to their own “cleansed and purified” news broadcasts and check out a rival network that reports what the voters really think. I can recommend one, in case they are interested.

  • The Real Royal King

    Well, Smithy, you sound like some anti-Roosevelt newspaper editor (without the writing skills). That particular Marxist saved American capitalism from the abuse and neglect of Herbert W. Hoover, and this Marxist is saving American capitalism from the abuse of George Herbert W. Bush and his off-spring. So, go ahead. Cry us all a river. As for me: 14 more years! 14 more years! 14 more years!

  • The Real Royal King

    … check out a rival network that reports what the voters really think. I can recommend one, in case they are interested.

    Maybe on the Drop Out Governor’s new show where all the news is fabricated? Perhaps, a live interview with Richard Nixon?

  • Olby Sucks

    I think the terrorists, unsurgents and suicide bombers here and abroad did an ok job of “selling” the “Invasion and Occupation of Iraq.” Funny you have no prob with the 0(zero) administration invading afghanistan and killing innocent civilians. How can you compare a crappy health care “reform” bill to a war? Pathetic to say the least.

  • The Real Royal King

    Of course, Jeff, Iraq was uninvolved in 9/11, as we have all known for some time and which even W admitted, finally.

    Actually, Jeff, I have a tremendous problem the continued occupation of Afghanistan, but I supported the incursion. By W, as you’ll recall. There was at least some nexus between 9/11 and events in Afghanistan. My problem with Afghanistan is W dropped it like a fat, sweaty girl at a dance as soon as W decided he wanted to Invade and Occupy Iraq.

    You’re a terribly confused individual, aren’t you?

    PLEASE NOTE: The topic is media coverage of the apparent poll fluctuations due to HCR. If HCR is unlike what you call the “war”, which I take to mean the Invasion and Occupation of Iraq, why do you mention it in this context? I mentioned it as evidence of a president and administration selling a policy initiative. I can’t imagine what relevance debating the merits of W’s Invasion and Occupation has to do with the subject at hand.

    You’re a terribly confused individual, aren’t you?

  • Olby Sucks

    You’re the name jackin’ loser that brought up “W” and the “invasion.” How’s that egg on your face feel?

  • Smithy

    @ The Real Royal King says: :”That particular Marxist saved American capitalism from the abuse and neglect of Herbert W. Hoover,”

    /sarc Yeah..and stuck us with welfare progams that are totally broke today. Social security just started paying out more than they are taking in just last month. Combined, social security, medicare and medicaid have unfunded liablities today of over a stuning $70 Trillion!
    Yup..he “saved capilatism” alright…like how Stalin “saved ” Russia.

    “and this Marxist is saving American capitalism from the abuse of George Herbert W. Bush and his off-spring.”

    Is that why 0bama has manged to QUADRUPLE annual federal deficits since he took over from Bush?
    And is that why 0bama has managed to add a gut wrenching $2 Trillion to our national debts since he took over?
    And is that why US monthly deficits have been setting new recordrs ever since 0bama took over?
    And is that why recent US goverment bond sales have continued to meet with lukeworm reception?
    And is that why America’s AAA debt ratings, which determine the rate at which the US can borrow money now, faces a pretty high risk of being downgraded?

    Associated Press.,3/10/10 :
    “US Tops Biggest Monthly Budget Deficit Ever ($220.9 billion)
    http://www.kfwb.com/pages/6543316.php?contentType=4&contentId=5723136

    The United States Department of the Treasury : Tuesday March 16, 2010
    “The Obama Debt Tracker – more than $2 trillion of new national debt in less than 14 months”

    Since President Barack Hussein Obama was inaugurated into office a bit less than 14 months ago, Obama, Pelosi, and Reid have increased the total combined national debt by more than two trillion dollars:

    Date Debt Held by the Public Intragovernmental Holdings Total Public Debt Outstanding

    01/20/2009 6,307,310,739,681.66 4,319,566,309,231.42 10,626,877,048,913.08
    03/15/2010 8,152,640,856,906.57 4,484,022,099,233.50 12,636,662,956,140.07

    In this time period, the debt has increased precisely $2,009,785,907,226.99, and worst of all, the overwhelming bulk of this is debt held by the public which has been borrowed from foreign government like the communist Chinese.”
    http://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP/BPDLogin?application=np

    The Wall Street Journal .
    “Deficit Balloons Into National-Security Threat”
    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703422904575039173633482894.html?mod=WSJ-hpp-LEADNewsCollectio

    The New York Times .
    “Huge Deficits May Alter U.S. Politics and Global Power”
    http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/02/us/politics/02deficit.html?th&emc=th

    0bama “saved” capitalism huh?
    Don’t make me laugh!

  • Grammie

    Jeff, Janet here.

    Does this obvious obsession that TRRK with both of us here daily creep you out too?

    Based on all his ramblings of his full and varied life I’m surprised he has the time to hound you and I with such diligence.

  • Olby Sucks

    From traveling the world to catching cougars with it’s bare hands to running an “office” you have to wonder how it finds time for trolling!

  • Grammie

    Oh, we also mustn’t forget his burning interest in the copulation habits of coyotes as compared and contrasted to Sarah Palin.

    The research alone must consume a large amount of his time and that’s before he even writes his thesis and makes his documentary.

    Truly a Renaissance Man along the lines, no doubt, of Rodrigo Borgia.

  • Nachi

    I don’t believe anyone ever accused the Murcuhn masses of being “intelligent.” Look about you at the intellectual levels.

  • writer

    Nachi, no one’s making you stay. Sean Penn says Venezuela is lovely this time of year. It’s where the elite meet.

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