A Republican pollster surveying the Missouri Senate race between incumbent Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) and controversial Republican senate candidate Rep. Todd Akin (R-MO) finds the race shifting in Akins direction. In that survey, conducted by the Republican polling firm Wenzel Strategies, finds Akin leading McCaskill by 49 to 45 percent.
The Wenzel Strategies poll sampled 38 percent Democrats, 37 percent Republicans and 25 percent independents for this survey. While there was no senatorial election in Missouri four years ago, this sample appears similar to the breakdown of voters who came out in that year’s presidential contest.
In 2008, 40 percent of Missouri voters were Democrats, 34 percent were Republicans and 26 percent identified as independents. Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) narrowly won Missouri in 2008 and analysts expect Republicans to turn out this year in greater numbers than they did in 2008.
In this poll, McCaskill has a 7 point advantage among women while Akin has a 16 point lead over McCaskill among men.
Polls like these have induced some pro-Republican groups to recommit to funding Akin’s race against McCaskill. Many groups, including the National Republican Senatorial Committee, pulled out of that race after Akin gave a local interview in which he suggested that female bodies have the innate ability to terminate pregnancies that result from “legitimate rape.”
The Wenzel Strategies poll was conducted between October 12 and 13 of 1,000 Missouri voters. The poll has a +/- 3.07 percent margin of error.
h/t The Hill
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