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Winning the Budget Conversation: A ‘Luntz Memo’ For President Obama

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Rep. Paul Ryan created quite a stir a few weeks back by presenting a budget proposal that took the political media by storm. Just when it seemed President Obama was on the ropes, though, he came out swinging with a plan of his own that rejected key elements of Ryan’s plan which, if you believe the polls, almost every American rejects, as well. Why, then, does it appear that the President is playing the GOP to a draw, at best?

A huge part of the problem is a bubble-headed media that lauded Ryan, in unison, as “deserving credit” for putting forth a plan that addressed Medicare and Social Security, even as they trashed said plan as completely unworkable in the next breath. The President’s rebuttal, meanwhile, has drawn more attention for its “tone” than anything else. If you listen to the beltweay press, you probably think it’s Obama who is calling his opponents un-American mau-mau bastards from Hell.

That’s only part of the problem, though, and it’s not something that can be change all that quickly. The modern media, despite what others may say, is biased toward laziness and conflict, in equal measure, because the microscopic news cycle and American attwntion span demand it.

The other problem is the ten or fifteen percent of barely-engaged Americans who decide every election.

The liberal and/or conservative bases aren’t the problem. Whichever side you’re on, the other guys are just wrong, but they believe in something, and they’re sticking to it. At the very least, you know who they are, where they are, and that they’re probably not moving. The best you can do is try to keep them from showing up to vote.

But the squishy middle is easy to manipulate, and can whiplash back and forth like a rocket-powered ping pong ball. They swept Barack Obama into office hoping for change, and when everything wasn’t fixed in 18 months, voted en masses for the exact opposite of him. No matter which side you’re on, you have to admit that those people are idiots, the kind of people whose Inception dreamscape is a tic-tac-toe board. A losing tic-tac-toe board (they get complacent once they’ve secured the center square).

They call themselves “independents,” and their feather-light intellects are the true prize in this, or any, political  battle, and the reason the President and the Democrats aren’t clobbering the GOP on this is that they don’t know how to talk to these people. What the President needs is something akin to the infamous “Luntz Memo,” a handy glossary of terminology put together by pollster Frank Luntz to make health care reform seem like the second coming of Mao Tse Hitler Stalin-Sheen.

While the Democrats did manage to pass that legislation by a clam’s whisker, the memo was very effective, completely reshaping the debate, and setting the table for the Democrats’ midterm defeat.

The President is a very effective communicator in the macro, but when it comes to micro-managing language, his administration has given us things like “man-caused disaster” and “Overseas Contingency Operation.” The idea seems to be to make things sound “nice,” but the effect is to drain them of urgency.

Besides, most people aren’t all that nice, and the ones who are have already been locked up by one side or the other. Liberals think they’re being nice by taking care of everyone, and conservatives think they’re being nice by keeping everyone free to beg for charity.

The people in the middle need to be convinced of what’s in it for them, despite the fact that they possess a sense of invincibility that cannot be overcome. When you talk about people in need, the less fortunate, the elderly, the sick, these people think this will never be them. Even the ones who are old, sick, and poor think there’s something special about them that excludes them from these groups. In order to speak to them effectively, you’ve got to think like them, hear what they hear.

Since I don’t have access to focus groups and fancy polls like Mr. Luntz does, I have to rely on a slightly less conventional, but equally precise, method. I’ve isolated the words and phrases from the President’s recent speeches that make the “self-interested dick” portion of my psyche burp throw-up, and fine-tuned them for the swing-voter’s ears:

What not to say:

Fairness – This seems like a universally positive concept, but don’t be fooled. Any and all derivations of the word “fair” or “share” are poisonous, and should be avoided at all costs. Normal people support the idea of fairness, but the word conjures the bitter memory of every kid getting an award ribbon, or being forced to even out your pillowcases full of Halloween candy.

What to say:

When the price of gas goes up, people don’t think, “Hey, that’s fair,” but they know they have to pay it. It’s the cost of living. Instead of framing progressive taxation as an issue of “fairness,” frame it as the “cost of living large.”

What not to say:

Deserve – The President talks a fair amount about what the American people “deserve,” things like dignity and respect, and an old age free of Alpo consumption. The problem is, people often think they “deserve” things (a promotion, a big fat raise, an extra slice of pecan pie) that they really don’t. Even when they do, it’s not something they are owed, but rather, a bonus, a perk, a reward.

What to say:

Americans don’t deserve dignity, respect, and an old age free of Alpo consumption. Americans have earned them, because America has worked hard to ensure them.

What not to say:

Entitlement Reform – Medicare, Social Security, and Medicaid are all popularly referred to as “entitlements,” which immediately conjures the smug douchebags from the rich kids’ camp in Meatballs. Nobody likes them. The President refers to them as “commitments,” “programs” to which we all “contribute,” which “provide” us with this or that. While accurate, all of these terms make them sound like something nice that you do, as long as you can afford it, and “reforming” them is something the principal does when they’re caught smoking in the boy’s room.

What to say:

Medicare, Social Security, and Medicaid are contracts, agreements that the government has made with us, and rather than allowing them to “reform” those contracts, they should be asking to renegotiate them with us.

What not to say:

Safety Net – A safety net is for crummy trapeze artists who should’ve paid more attention in trapezing school. A social safety net is even worse, it’s like Facebook for lazy, poor people. Either way, it’s not something the swing voter will ever need, because he knows his trapezin’.

What to say:

Most healthy people don’t ever think they’re going to get sick, but they know that anybody can get hit by a bus. Programs like unemployment insurance, Medicaid, and food stamps are for Americans who find themselves in a financial emergency.

What not to say:

Give – This one drives me nuts. The President is always saying that the wealthy ought to “give back to their country,” or that they want to “give” more, but we just haven’t asked. The latter is an incredible farce that asks us to believe that the hiring of an army of tax accountants is the reluctant act of an “alien hand syndrome” sufferer, but the larger message is that taxes are a gift when paid by the rich. With that attitude, we’ll be lucky to have a treasury full of fondue pots.

What to say:

This line of thinking never gets around to explaining what wealthy individuals and corporations get from America, which is mainly access to us. You know, the people who buy their crap, work for increasingly depressed wages, contribute 401k money to their hedge funds, and pay for the things that allow them to be successful.

Wealthy individuals and corporations aren’t “giving back to their country,” they are paying for what they have taken from our country.

What not to say:

Job Creation – Politicians always talk about job creation as though this activity is a means unto itself, as if the only thing preventing corporations from crapping out jobs is a lack of fiber in their diet. Even the Democrats, as they point out that the Bush tax cuts didn’t create jobs, don’t ever get around to explaining why.

What to say:

Corporations are making record profits, yet they’re not creating jobs. Is that because the taxes are too high?

No, it’s because they don’t need any new employees, because nobody can afford to buy anything. It’s not sustainable, but for the time being, you can just charge more and cut costs to maintain those profits, but without consumers to create demand, there’s no reason to create any jobs.

Conversely, if there were suddenly a huge spike in consumer demand, do you think businesses would say, “Y’know, I’d love to service all of these new customers by hiring more, but with that 3% tax increase, I’ll just let my competitor pick up the slack?”

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  • http://www.perceptionasreality.blogspot.com/ skoorbekim

    TC,
    You are no Frank Luntz…
    Most Americans work too hard to live & breath and politics… that does not mean they are too stupid…
    Obama is NOT an effective communicator, he is a celebrity… and his Progressive spending policies are pushing the economy into INFLATION….
    When six gallons of milk equal a new DVD player… people know there is a problem…

  • The Lantern of Truth

    “Liberals think they’re being nice by taking care of everyone, and conservatives think they’re being nice by keeping everyone free to beg for charity.”

    A look inside the mind of a Washington hipster liberal .

    Scary .

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  • Call_Me_Ishmael

    No matter which side you’re on, you have to admit that those people are idiots, the kind of people whose Inception dreamscape is a tic-tac-toe board. A losing tic-tac-toe board (they get complacent once they’ve secured the center square).

    They call themselves “independents,” and their feather-light intellects are the true prize in this, or any, political  battle [...]

    Glib and dangerously incorrect…

  • More Liberty5

    Of course Tommy Christopher never mentions the fact that Factcheck.org wrote the following critique about President Obama’$ response to Ryan’s budget.

    The article is titled:
    “FactChecking Obama’s Budget Speech
    The president went too far in his critique of the House Republicans’ deficit-reduction plan.”

    http://factcheck.org/2011/04/factchecking-obamas-budget-speech/

  • More Liberty5

    Tommy Christopher wrote:
    ” Liberals think they’re being nice by taking care of everyone, and conservatives think they’re being nice by keeping everyone free to beg for charity.”

    This is one of your most hilarious statements. I mean, we all know that the reason Mediaite loves you, according to Colby Hall, is because you are an “unabashed liberal” but this goes a step further.

    You have now completely stepped into the Media Matters realm. At least you are not trying to pretend to be unbiased anymore.

  • lonestar77

    Tommy, you are so far off the mark on this one that I’m not sure you’re even being serious. First, the Maddow talking point that the “bubble-headed media lauded Ryan” is nothing more than a Maddow talking point. It’s simply inaccurate.

    Also, Obama’s tone is one that is simply embarrassing coming from a President. If GWB called called his opponents un-American, if he said they wanted to harm special-needs children, old people & minorities, he’d have been excoriated for it and rightly so.

    Obama had ZERO plan. Ryan showed some leadership and presented his vision. Then, as a reaction, Obama slapped some stuff together as an addendum, and did nothing more than give a speech saying that Ryan hates the retards, the weathered & confused & the non-whitey’s.

    I understand your frustration given your undying support for Obama but you should try your best to net let it cloud your thinking. This piece was Maddowesque, in that it was mostly devoid of fact but high on snarkiness.

    Obama isn’t a leader. He never will be. He’s a person way in over his head and he simply reacts to events. He’s weak and he doesn’t have a clue what the hell is going on.

  • lonestar77

    The last half of your piece, Tommy, could be summed up rather quickly. “We liberals think the average voter is too stupid to know all the good you’ve done for them, Mr. President; therefore, you should change your verbiage so they’ll no longer think you’re selling them a crap sandwich.

    Well done, Squealer.

  • Black and Gold Brad

    So, I guess it is just now dawning on Tommy that the Great Communicator & Sterling Intellect of the Smartest President Evah sucks at communicating.

    Of course, another way to look at this is that his policies suck, the country is beginning to figure this out, and it no longer matters what Obama says.

  • OxyCon

    Sorry Tommy, but there’s just too much reality out there for people to be swayed by word games:

    Standard & Poor’s Downgrades Outlook On US Debt
    FavStocks – Jonathan Turley – ‎Apr 23, 2011‎
    On April 18, S&P downgraded its outlook on a debt partially incurred by the bailout of the same financial institutions that S&P vouched for. Oh, the irony. Interestingly, the dollar gained on April 18 while the euro, the dollar’s chief competitor, …

    China Makes Plans to Diversify Its Dollar Reserves
    Daily Reckoning – American Edition – Chuck Butler – ‎1 hour ago‎
    But first, while we were pounding down our Easter feasts, the Chinese were making plans to diversify their $3 trillion in reserves, and reduce their dollar holdings… Here’s the skinny… OK… Remember last week when I told you that China’s Central Bank …

    And as you criticize Obama’s messaging…you do know about ASK Public Strategies, don’t you? That’s David Axlerod’s company, the one that earned him the nickname “Astroturf Axlerod”:

    ASGK Public Strategies – Who We Are
    ASGK Public Strategies is the nationally recognized communication management firm that was founded in 2002 by David Axelrod, Eric Sedler and John Kupper. …
    askps.com/ – Cached –

    And here’s a description of Axlerod’s White House position:

    On November 20, 2008, Obama named Axelrod as a Senior Advisor to his administration. His role includes crafting policy and communicating the President’s message in coordination with President Obama, the Obama Administration, speechwriters, and the White House communications team.

    So basically what I’m saying there is that David Axlerod and Frank Luntz perform similar functions. How would you liberals feel if Frank Luntz was the Senior Advisor to a Republican President?

  • More Liberty5

    OxyCon said:
    Sorry Tommy, but there’s just too much reality out there for people to be swayed by word games:

    LOL…good point. The “unabashed liberal” Tommy Christopher thinks that by changing the wording people are some how going to think that 2 1/2 wars, $14.1 trillion of debt, $5 gas, 48% of workers not paying taxes, and GE paying no tax is just fine and dandy.

    hey you know what…that word makes me “feel good” so I have no problem with the administration, as well as the liberals/necons, robbing from the individual.

  • http://www.perceptionasreality.blogspot.com/ skoorbekim

    TC,
    Why are the vast majority of Liberals such economic illiterates?
    I thought asking you would be appropriate because you are both a Liberal and an economic illiterate…

  • black and WHITE

    Give it two weeks to allow the Congress to come back to Washington and the dust settle.

    I don’t see why this time would be any different than all the others. Any and everything Barack Obama touches immediately begins to turn to poop.

    He’s on a two plus year roll ( down hill ) and I don’t anticipate an end to the curse of the ‘ Kenyan ‘ anytime in the foreseeable future………and that’s a good thing for America.

  • news_junkie

    “They call themselves “independents,” and their feather-light intellects are the true prize in this, or any, political battle [...]”

    In my humble opinion, the “feather light intellects” are the people that subscribe to group or party think and leave their brains at the door in the polling places.

  • jdubbellu

    i hope he sticks with using WTF (winning the future) as his plan. lol

  • My Horse his Name is Mack

    news_junkie said:
    “They call themselves “independents,” and their feather-light intellects are the true prize in this, or any, political battle [...]”

    In my humble opinion, the “feather light intellects” are the people that subscribe to group or party think and leave their brains at the door in the polling places.

    Couldn’t agree with you more. You want the dumbing down of America, look no farther than those who vote a straight party ticket on any ballot.

  • Calvin

    Winning the Budget Conversation: A ‘Luntz Memo’ For President Obama

    I do believe you forgot to put a “Duh” at the beginning of that headline.

  • mitchflorida

    Tommy Christopher, you are an economic illiterate..
    Prices are up because Obama is printing dollar bills like they were toilet paper.

    Please stick to the media reporting, okay?

  • skyfet

    Finally! this confirms that the public knows that the GOP is the party for the rich and the fakers who hope to be very rich (someday). The middle class knows that the GOP are not looking after their self interest. The poll clearly shows that the public don’t want Medicare to be cut for the elderly nor Medicaid cut for the poor. I can tell you this, the GOP will abandon this stupid plan, they are phony conservatives when it comes to money, their record clearly shows that.
    The last budget cut nothing, its just a phony victory to take home. They can’t and will not do so, its all talk with no action. The only reasonable person is Ron Paul, but they don’t listen to him nor accept his ideas. What they are doing is just dropping some red meat to the faithful, while knowing fully well that they have no intentions of doing what they campaign on.

  • More Liberty5

    skyfet said:
    The only reasonable person is Ron Paul, but they don’t listen to him nor accept his ideas.

    BINGO. Even if they did the media wouldn’t stand for it.

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