‘Not Close at All!’ CNN Data Guru Accuses Team Cuomo of Living in ‘Fantasy Land’ as Mamdani Leads
CNN senior data analyst Harry Enten accused those hoping and suggesting that Andrew Cuomo can pull off an upset over Zohran Mamdani in the New York City mayoral race of living in a “fantasy land” on Thursday morning.
During a segment with anchor Sara Sidner, Enten observed that “what the polling suggests is this race is, simply put, not close at all.”
“I know there are a lot of people on Twitter, a lot of Cuomo fans, who think that this race is closing. I want what they’re having,” he continued. “Because if we take a look at the choice for New York City mayor, look, back in September, Mamdani was ahead by 15 points, my aggregate of polls, 45% to 30%. You jump to now, it’s basically the same story. If nothing else, Mamdani might have actually gained a point or two. Mamdani closing in on that 50% mark, 48%. You see Cuomo here at 31%. At this particular point, and we’re getting close to where this particular point is Election Day, this race is, simply put, not close at all!”
After then, showing that Cuomo is not likely to be saved by an older electorate, Enten was asked if there was “any precedent” for a “New York City mayoral candidate to overcome, to surpass expectations compared to the polling?”
Enten answered:
Yeah, OK, so the question is, right, are the Cuomo folks living in a fantasy land, the fans of Cuomo living in the fantasy land that maybe they can overcome this large polling leap for Zohran Mamdani? Well, at this particular point, it to me suggests no, based upon history. They are living in a bit of a fantasy land if you think you’re gonna be overcoming the polling. Why? Mamdani leads by 17 points right now. I look back at all of the final polling dating all the way back since 1989. The largest final polling average error was 11 points in 2005. Eleven points is way less than 17 points. So at this point, it would take something unprecedented, at least in the last 36 years of New York City mayoral races, for Andrew Cuomo to overcome Mamdani’s lead. Mamdani has the ball. It looks like he’s running right for the end zone with no tacklers in front of him.
Watch above via CNN.
