Cook Political Report Shifts Pennsylvania Senate Race From ‘Lean Democrat’ to ‘Toss Up’

The Cook Political Report shifted its rating for two key U.S. Senate races on Monday, moving Pennsylvania’s race from “lean Democrat” to “toss up” and the race in Nebraska’s from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican.”

Fox News’s Martha MacCallum spoke to her panel Monday about the shift, noting, “This is just coming in from the Cook Political Report. They have just moved the Pennsylvania Senate race that is Casey and McCormick to tossup from leans Democrat. Nebraska’s Senate has moved to lean Republican. Give me a sense of what you’re feeling as we are 15 days out right now.”

Wall Street Journal editor at larger Gerard Baker replied, “Yeah. Look, I think that Pennsylvania number from the Cook Report is very significant. It had been Bob Casey, the incumbent Democrat, had been has been leading in all of the polls that it has been all the polls in since for the last 2 or 3 months since David McCormick, the Republican, got the Republican nomination.”

“He’s been behind in the polls, but he’s been closing the gap,” Baker continued, adding:

And I think it fits in with that larger picture that you’re seeing, Martha, of concerns from the Democrats coming out of Pennsylvania. You hear it all the time. I’ve spoken to Democratic people, people involved in the campaign in Pennsylvania, and they are very nervous. They are concerned that the number of people who came out, you know, remember, that’s a state that Trump won in 2016. Biden won in 2020 on a huge turnout.

They’re worried about some of those Biden supporters not coming out to vote. Significant numbers of them not coming out to vote for Harris in 2016, in 2024, and some of them voting for Trump.

Pennsylvania’s key obviously in both the Senate and the presidential race. So I’m not surprised at all. It fits in with that broader picture that we’ve seen of small, not dramatic, but small, steady, significant shift towards Donald Trump in almost all of these key swing states. You know, again, it’s on a knife edge. No one would make any predictions, but that is the message that we’re hearing from both campaigns.

Watch the clip above.