Joe Biden Crushes Trump in 2024 Election Poll — Also They’re Polling 2024 Already

ANGELA WEISS,MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images

President Joe Biden holds a huge lead over former President Donald Trump in a new poll of the 2024 general election — a poll taken barely four months into Biden’s current presidency.

But it’s never too early for some people, and so it is that President Biden holds a commanding 12-point lead over Trump in a new Yahoo! News/YouGov poll that looks way ahead to the next election.

When respondents to the poll were asked “If the 2024 election were held today, who would you vote for?”, 48 percent said they’d vote for Biden, while 36 percent responded Trump, and another 10 percent said they were “not sure.”

The poll also showed that 12 percent of Trump 2020 voters would either flip to Biden or are now “not sure,” twice as many as the 6 percent who would potentially flip from Biden to Trump.

Respondents were also asked “Should President Trump run for president again in 2024?”, and a clear 57 percent majority said he should not, versus just 31 percent who said he should. That includes 18 percent of Trump 2020 voters who now say he should not run again, and another 12 percent who are “not sure” he should run again. Among Republicans, those numbers are slightly higher at 22 percent “no” and 10 percent “not sure.”

The poll did not test matchups between Biden and other potential 2024 GOP candidates, but another poll out this week illustrates the state of play for Republicans at this very early date.

In a new Politico/Morning Consult poll, respondents who plan to vote in the GOP primary were asked “If the 2024 Republican primary were being held today, for whom would you vote?”

Trump more than tripled his nearest competitor with 48 percent to former Vice President Mike Pence’s 13 percent, while Pence nearly doubled third-place finisher Donald Trump Jr.’s 7 percent. No other candidate rose above 4 percent.

The news is also a mixed blessing for Biden, who has a clear lead over Trump, but who falls short of the 51%-plus who voted for him in 2020. And while Biden has a clear edge in that undecided category, the electoral college is such that even with a 7 million edge in the popular vote, slim shifts in a handful of states could have sent him to defeat.