SHOCK POLL: Trump Has a Positive Favorability Rating, Biden’s Is 11 Points Underwater

Isaac SchorrFeb 26th, 2024, 2:49 pm
 

(AP Photo/Julio Cortez, file)

A shocking new poll from Harvard University’s Center for American Political Studies and Harris X suggests that former President and likely Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is well-positioned to retake the White House come this November.

In addition to boasting a 6-point (48%-42%) lead over President Joe Biden, Trump’s favorability rating has recovered to the point where he is now seen positively by a plurality of the country. While 36% of the 2,022 respondents indicated that they view Trump very unfavorably and additional 11% view him at least somewhat unfavorably, 30% say they view him very favorably and an additional 20% view him at least somewhat favorably.

These figures look particularly good when they’re contrasted with Biden’s on the same question. Thirty-nine percent view the incumbent very unfavorably and 15% more at least view him at least somewhat unfavorably. Biden’s favorable numbers summed, meanwhile, add up to only 43%. That means that while Trump’s head is above water for what seems like the first time in ages, Biden’s is underwater by 11.

Trump and Biden appear to be headed for a rematch of their contest from four years ago, when the latter bested the former in the 2020 presidential election.

Biden’s margin of victory then was at once both sizable at the national level and razor-thin in key states. He coasted to a meaningless, but nevertheless telling popular vote victory of 4.5% and a decisive Electoral College victory by 74 votes.

But that latter number was based on his extremely small margins of victory in a few battleground states. That year, Biden triumphed over Trump by 0.23% in Georgia, 1.17% in Pennsylvania, 0.30% in Arizona, and 0.63% in Wisconsin. Polls conducted in those states for the current election cycle have shown Trump leading in all of them.

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