Trump Releases Internal Poll Showing Himself Ahead In Every Swing State — All But One Are Within the Margin of Error
AP Photo/Alex Brandon
Former president and Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump released an internal poll from his campaign showing him ahead of vice president and Democratic nominee Kamala Harris in every swing state on Thursday.
According to the memo from campaign pollsters Tony Fabrizio and John McLaughlin, Trump is up by five points in Georgia (50%-45%), three in Arizona (49%-46%) and Nevada (48%-47%), and one point in Michigan (49%-48%), North Carolina (48%-47%), Pennsylvania (49%-48%), and Wisconsin (49%-48%).
“As you can clearly see, President Trump holds an edge in all 7 Battlegrounds including all the ‘Blue Wall States.’ This data projected out would put President Trump at 312 Electoral votes. As importantly, President Trump is at or on the precipice of 50% in virtually all of these states,” wrote Fabrizio and McLaughlin.
“Given today’s high inflation data and Kamala Harris’ admission that she would not have changed or done anything different than Joe Biden, we expect that President Trump’s edge will only continue to solidify,” they concluded.
While Trump is no doubt relieved to be up according to his own pollsters, it is notable that every state except for Georgia falls within the poll’s 3.5% margin of error.
Although most surveys indicate that the race is close to deadlocked, reports in recent days have indicated that Harris’s team is increasingly nervous about her prospects.
One source close to the campaign told CNN that “a lot of us are having these flashbacks to 2016,” especially since Hillary Clinton lost to Trump despite having a much bigger polling lead at this point in the race eight years ago.
Veteran reporter Mark Halperin, meanwhile, has warned that “robust” private polling he’s seen suggests that Harris has “a problem.”
“The conversation I’m having with Trump people and Democrats with data are extremely bullish on Trump’s chances in the last 48 hours. Extremely bullish,” said Halperin earlier this week. “What I’m telling you today is things are not moving right for her.”
Fabrizio and McLaughlin reached 800 likely voters in each state using landlines and cell phones between October 6 and 9.
