“As Ohio goes, so goes the nation.
Ohio, with its 18 electoral votes, has predicted the winner of every presidential election since, and including, 1964. Though this might be the year in which the Buckeye State breaks that streak.
As of Monday afternoon, the RealClearPoll average of the most recent Ohio polls showed Trump with a 2.2-point lead in a two-way race, and Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight gave Trump a 65.3% percent chance of winning the state.
The polls close at 7:30 p.m. eastern time. We will update with the reported results as soon as they come in.
Here’s how Ohio voted in the last four presidential elections:
2012: Democrat (50.7%)
2008: Democrat (51.5%)
2004: Republican (50.8%)
2000: Republican (50.0%)
UPDATE 4:33 PM ET: According to Votecastr, Donald Trump narrowly leads over Hillary Clinton, 46% to 45%, with 73.7% of votes being observed.
UPDATE 5:32 PM ET: Per latest Votecastr estimates, Clinton continues to hold a one-point lead, 46% to 45%.
UPDATE 8:03 PM ET: Results so far show Clinton with a six-point lead, 51% to 45%, with 5% reporting.
UPDATE 8:43 PM ET: The race has tightened in Ohio, with Clinton’s lead now down to two points, 49% to 47%, with 22% reporting.
UPDATE 9:03 PM ET: Ohio is now essentially tied, 48% to 48%, with Trump up by roughly a thousand votes with 30% reporting.
UPDATE 9:39 PM ET: Trump appears to be pulling away in the state, but it hasn’t been called yet. With 49% reporting, Trump leads 53% to 43% and is up by over 340,000 votes.
UPDATE 10:25 PM ET: NBC News is now calling Ohio for Donald Trump, giving him his first swing state victory and going against Votecastr’s projection.
Find out who’s winning in other battleground states: Florida, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Virginia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona, Maine, Minnesota, Iowa, Nevada, Georgia, and Colorado.
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