Nikki Haley Now Doubling Up Non-Trump Candidates in New Hampshire: Poll

Isaac SchorrNov 15th, 2023, 11:17 am
 

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A new poll from Emerson College shows Republican presidential candidate and former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley now doubling up her nearest non-Trump opponent in New Hampshire.

The survey indicates that Haley now has the support of 18% of GOP primary voters in the Granite state. Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie (9%), Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (7%), and Vivek Ramaswamy (5%), followed her, while former President Donald Trump remains in the driver’s seat with 49%.

A previous poll conducted by Emerson in August pegged Haley’s support at 4%. Nine percent of voters are either undecided or supporting another candidate.

The results would seem to serve as more evidence that Haley is surging on the back of several strong debate performances. After last week’s debate in Miami, 34% of Republican respondents in a Washington Post/FiveThirtyEight poll said that Haley had performed best in it, while DeSantis followed with 23%. In most surveys, she now claims second place in both New Hampshire and South Carolina, and appears to be gaining on DeSantis in Iowa.

The good news for DeSantis is that 22% said that their second favorite candidate in the race, outpacing Haley (18%) and Ramaswamy (15%) in that category.

But Haley also has the better argument for being the stronger general election candidate. While Biden boasts leads against of 5% and 7% against Trump and DeSantis, Haley would beat Biden by 6% if the election was held today.

Emerson College Polling Executive Director Spencer Kimball interpreted the results by explaining that Haley’s surge was “driven by older voters, and those with postgraduate degrees.”

“While Trump leads across all age groups, Haley gets 21% of the vote from voters over 40 while getting about 8% from voters under 40,” said Kimball. “Trump leads among non-college-educated with 57% to 12% for Haley, but among college-educated GOP voters Trump leads 35% to 27%, and among those with postgraduate degrees Trump leads 29% to 26% over Haley.”

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