SHOCK POLL: Harris Leads Trump in Iowa

(AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)

A shock poll released on Saturday night found Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in Iowa.

A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll shows Harris leading Trump 47% to 44% among likely voters.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who dropped his presidential bid and endorsed Trump in August, is on the ballot in Iowa and, per Saturday’s poll, has the support of three percent of Hawkeye State voters.

An additional five percent of likely Iowa voters said they were either undecided or did not answer who they intended to vote for.

Des Moines Register

The Des Moines Register noted of the shock poll:

Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in Iowa — a startling reversal for Democrats and Republicans who have all but written off the state’s presidential contest as a certain Trump victory.

A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows Vice President Harris leading former President Trump 47% to 44% among likely voters just days before a high-stakes election that appears deadlocked in key battleground states.

The results follow a September Iowa Poll that showed Trump with a 4-point lead over Harris and a June Iowa Poll showing him with an 18-point lead over Democratic President Joe Biden, who was the presumed Democratic nominee at the time.

[…]

Final Selzer poll findings (vs. the actual result)
2022 Senate: R+12 (R+12)
2020 President: R+7 (R+8)
2020 Senate: R+4 (R+7)
2018 Governor: D+2 (R+3)
2016 President: R+7 (R+9)
2014 Senate: R+7 (R+8)
2012 President: D+5 (D+6)

Veteran pollster J. Ann Selzer told the Register it would be “hard for anybody to say they saw this coming” and added, “[Harris] has clearly leaped into a leading position.”

The Selzer polling contrasts sharply with an Emerson survey that was also released Saturday that found Trump ahead of Harris by double digits 53 percent to 43 percent.

Des Moines Register/Mediacom spoke to 808 likely voters from Oct. 28-31.