‘Donald Trump Can’t Be Too Happy’: CNN’s Harry Enten Predicts Big Democratic Wins on Tuesday

On Friday, CNN’s Harry Enten predicted Democratic wins in New York City’s mayoral race and gubernatorial races in both New Jersey and Virginia, adding that, “Donald Trump can’t be too happy.”

“If [these races] are a test of Donald Trump, then Donald Trump can’t be too happy with what we’re seeing in the data right now,” Enten told CNN’s Erica Hill. Enten, CNN’s Chief Data Analyst, went on to cite aggregate data from all three races.

In New Jersey, he said, “I know a lot of Republicans want to think that [former State Representative] Jack Ciattarelli is closing the gap, but in all honesty, what we see there is that the Democratic candidate, [Rep.] Mikie Sherrill has a clear advantage — about six points. That’s the closest of the three races we’re talking about.”

In Virginia‘s gubernatorial race, he continued, “you see [Democratic candidate] Abigail Spanberger way up there by double digits — up by 10 points” against Republican candidate and the Virginia Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears.

Lastly, Enten emphasized that Zohran Mamdani, the Democratic candidate in the NYC mayoral race, is ahead in the polls by 16 points over former Governor Andrew Cuomo and even further ahead of Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa. “At this point in time,” he concluded, “it seems like the Democrats are most likely going to sweep all three of those races. That’s in part because of Donald Trump.”

Enten went on to stress how rare it is for Democrats to sweep all three of these races, finding only five instances in the past 90 years. “The five times that I mentioned that the Democrats swept all of those races,” he said, “each and every time the following year, they won a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives.”

“If Democrats sweep on Tuesday,” said Enten, “it, in my opinion, is a very good sign, looking forward to 2026 and taking that majority back from Republicans.”

Watch the clip above via CNN.