If Election Were Held Today Obama Would Lose To Huckabee And Romney But Trump Palin

by Glynnis MacNicol | 10:18 am, November 4th, 2010

» 19 comments

Brace yourself. The next two years is going to be filled with polls such as the hypothetical one CNN revealed today, which may or may not signify anything more than the nations’ insatiable love of numbers (if nothing else, Harry Reid‘s Nevada victory was the most recent reminder that polls are only very tenuously tied to voter turnout).

CNN marked the beginning of the 2012 presidential election season by surveying how President Obama would fare against the (presumed) top GOP candidates if the election were held today. Answer: badly…unless Sarah Palin is the candidate.

In a possible general election showdown, Obama leads Palin 52-44 percent among all registered voters.

“Looking ahead to 2012, it may be too early to count Barack Obama out, particularly if Sarah Palin is his opponent,” said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “The former Alaska governor gets a lot of attention, but she is in third place when Republicans are asked to pick a presidential nominee, and in a hypothetical matchup with Obama she is arguably the weakest candidate of the top-tier GOP hopefuls.”

In a hypothetical 2012 matchup, Huckabee leads Obama 52 – 44 percent, while Romney has a 50-45 point advantage, which is within the poll’s sampling error. Obama holds a 49-47 percent margin over Gingrich.

Emphasis mine, because I’m going to hazard a guess based on history, the amount that can change in two years, and simple common sense, that it’s too early to count Barack Obama out regardless of who he is running against. However if you are looking for further evidence that Palin for President is just a fun and easy talking point a poll like this, taken just days after many of her endorsements won their election bids, is as good an argument as any.

barack obama, CNN, Polls, Presidential Election 2012, Sarah Palin

Big Eddie

Trump Palin ? Naw . Palin / Trump .
http://www.armwood.com armwood

Do we want to elect someone again who does not have the intellectual weight to accept the reality of evolution.
http://www.uselessbeauty.com Vidiot

Palin for President?

Oh please, oh please, oh please. Cannot wait. Name O’Donnell or Giuliani as your running mate, and have at it.
skyfet

Run Sarah Run!
Seeing 2012 From My Window

Christie/Ryan 2012!!!
http://TheDividedStatesBlog.com Publius219

Cheney/Cheney 2012
Rousseau

Christine O’Donnell and Art Robinson 2012 :-)
http://www.facebook.com/people/Antony-Dupuy/1194612935 Antony Dupuy

If only 22% percent of voters think you’re qualified to be President, yet 44% say they would vote for you, then what does that say about your opponent? Hmmm….
http://www.facebook.com/people/Antony-Dupuy/1194612935 Antony Dupuy

Addendum:

When did we start polling elections 2 years out?
bealzebubba

It may not matter by then….we’ll have 6 weeks before the Mayan apocalypse occurs…we can go with a false sense of security either way
BatBoy

armwood said:
Do we want to elect someone again who does not have the intellectual weight to accept the reality of evolution.

Not Really Armwood so please DO NOT run!

Only 733 Days until we replace our President with someone who knows what they are doing!
philipjames

This is a good poll… Sarah Palin isn’t going to be a factor. No point listening to her anymore. I guess it means that now the liberal media like Mediate and the Democrats and the Republican crap Establishment will stop attacking Palin and go after Mittens and Huckleberry…. right? Why waste time and energy on someone so far behind in the polls and couldn’t beat Obama. You are agreeing, right?
felixw

armwood said:
Do we want to elect someone again who does not have the intellectual weight to accept the reality of evolution.

Definitely would not carry the ape vote.
http://www.facebook.com/people/Blair-Maury/1027829552 Blair Maury

This is an important poll.

You know who finds it relevant.

President Rudy Giuliani. Especially after he beat the Democratic nominee Hilary Clinton.

Based on the 2006 polls.
Some_Dude

You’re delusional if you think that any Republican candidate can top the legion of young and informed that will be voting in 2012. I remember tons of polls that always had Obama behind, even up to the last minute. Those polls always seemed to only source from elderly white people.
http://www.facebook.com/people/David-Mangan/100000213524770 David Mangan

I’m for Romney/Rubio, period.
ROCKSTEADY

Even “W” doesn’t support Palin.
standfast24

So CNN does not have enough news to report so they need a poll to make some. Weak.
DrFunke

Obama would tear apart Huckabee and Romney by large margains

Huckabee has zero appeal outside the South
Romney has the Health Care bill problem which would make him a laughingstock