Nate Silver to ABC: GOP Has 60% Shot at Retaking Senate

Nate Silver, the former New York Times statistician wunderkind who successfully predicted every state in the 2012 election and became something of an anti-anxiety pill for worried Democrats, now predicts that the GOP has a roughly 60% of retaking the Senate in the 2014 midterms.

Silver, who just launched his own site, FiveThirtyEight, under the ESPN banner, spoke to ABC’s Jon Karl in a segment on This Week With George Stephanopoulos Sunday morning. There he said his best prediction saw the GOP taking six seats, the exact number they’d need to have a one-vote majority. However, that prediction was +/- five seats, meaning the Senate could relatively unchanged, or the GOP could win big in November.

RELATED: FiveThirtyEight Kicks Off 2016 Coverage by Declaring GOP Field Historically Divided

Also: Silver is very underwhelmed by the prospect of a Scott Brown New Hampshire victory. “He was very popular in a different state four years ago,” Silver said, giving Brown a 1-in-4 chance.

Watch the clip below, via ABC News:

ABC US News | ABC Business News

[Image via screengrab]

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