CNN Data Reporter Raises Alarm on Why Trump’s Bronx Rally Could Spell Trouble for Biden
CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten pointed to some troubling voter trends for President Joe Biden following Donald Trump’s rally in the Bronx, which has overwhelmingly supported Democrats in recent elections.
Enten joined Kate Bolduan on CNN News Central on Friday and pointed out that though Biden has carried the specific precinct where Trump was on Thursday, he won by a lower margin than Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama.
“You see Obama 94%, Obama 96%, Clinton 92%, Biden won it, but by only 69 points,” Enten said.
“Only 69 points!?” a shocked Bolduan said in reaction.
“Why is that important? Because look at that. That’s 23 percentage points less than Hillary Clinton won it by,” Enten responded.
The data reporter, who has raised alarms about the president’s polling in swing states too, said “non-white voters” are far more favorable to Trump than they were in past elections and Democrats have seen minority voters, specifically Hispanic voters, moving away from their party.
“This is a sign of the Hispanic movement that we saw last cycle, right, where we saw, although Hispanics still favored the Democratic candidate in Joe Biden, they were less likely to favor him than they did Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama both times, and it’s not just there that happened,” Enten argued. “We saw it in Hispanic precincts and counties across the country from southeast Florida, southern Texas, even in the Los Angeles area.”
The reporter pointed to polls showing Biden’s lead with Hispanic voters has taken a hit since the last presidential election.
“Look at the trend that we’re seeing right now in the polling, right? So if you look back at Hispanic voters at this point in the 2020 cycle, Joe Biden had a 25-point lead,” he said. “Look at where that lead is today. It’s just seven points. Donald Trump right now at 44%, if that held, would be the best performance for a Republican candidate among Hispanic voters since George W. Bush back in 2004.”
Enten recommended Biden’s campaign focus on the Great Lake battleground states, predicting he’ll perform best in areas that primarily have white voters.
“He is going to probably do best where white voters make up the vast majority of voters,” he said. “He still has a path to 270 at this point, even though he’s doing poorly, more poorly amongst Hispanics and Black voters than he did four years ago because his numbers seem to be holding with white voters.”
Watch above via CNN.
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