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Latest FiveThirtyEight Stories

Nate Silver Reveals His Pick for Most Likely 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee

Charlie NashApr 17th
FiveThirtyEight Gets the Ax as ABC News Slashes Jobs in Major Shakeup

David GilmourMar 5th
Nate Silver’s ‘Gut’ Prediction? Donald Trump Wins the Election

David GilmourOct 23rd
Kamala Harris Seizes Lead Over Trump In Both Major Polling Averages: RCP And 538

Tommy ChristopherAug 7th
Nate Silver Accuses FiveThirtyEight of Playing Politics With Election Model: ‘They’re Waiting Until’ Kamala Harris Does Better

Isaac SchorrAug 5th
Nate Silver Is Going On an Insane Run at the World Series of Poker

Ahmad Austin Jr.Jul 12th
Rasmussen Claims ABC News Threatening to Ban Pollster From FiveThirtyEight Unless It Can Explain Political Ties And Methodology

Alex GriffingJun 30th
Nate Silver Reveals FiveThirtyEight Has Been Gutted By Disney Layoffs: ‘My Contract is Up Soon and I Expect That I’ll Be Leaving’

Ken MeyerApr 25th
‘Congrats to the Pollsters!’ Nate Silver Says FiveThirtyEight’s Analysis Shows Polls Had ‘Most Accurate Cycle Ever’ in 2021-2022

Sarah RumpfMar 10th
More Than Half of Republican House Members in Next Congress Will Be Election Deniers, Predicts FiveThirtyEight

Alex GriffingSep 12th
Nate Silver Breaks Down the Very ‘Transactional’ Electoral Politics of Biden’s Student Debt Forgiveness

Alex GriffingAug 24th
Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight Forecasts Democrats Keeping the Senate For the First Time This Cycle: Not Just ‘Statistical Noise’

Alex GriffingAug 1st
Ex-Disinformation Chief Nina Jankowicz Targets Pelosi Over ‘Blatant Misrepresentation’

Zachary LeemanJul 6th
Nate Silver Pours Cold Water on Sarah Palin’s Political Comeback: ‘I’m Not Really Buying’ it

Joe DePaoloApr 10th
Biden Gets His Best Polling News of 2022 From … Fox News?

Joe DePaoloJan 23rd
Nate Silver Feuds With CNN Medical Analyst on Twitter After She Dismisses His ‘Arrogant and Uninformed’ Take on J&J Pause

Katherine HugginsApr 14th
Nate Silver Defends Polls Amid Heavy Criticism for 2020 Misses: ‘I’m Amazed That Polls Are as Good as They Are’

Charlie NashNov 11th
MSNBC’s Joy Reid Gets Fact-Checked by CNN’s Jake Tapper Over Ridiculous 538 Origin Story: ‘This Isn’t Accurate’

Charlie NashNov 10th
‘F*ck You, We Did a Good Job’: Nate Silver Says People ‘Have False Impressions About How Accurate Polls Are’

Charlie NashNov 5th
Nate Silver Says Fox News and AP Projections For Biden in Arizona ‘Should Be Retracted Now’

Joe DePaoloNov 4th
Joe Biden Wins Michigan, According to Multiple Projections

Mediaite StaffNov 4th
BREAKING: Biden Wins Wisconsin, CNN Projects

Mediaite StaffNov 4th
Nate Silver: Biden Arizona Win Would Erase ‘Bad News’ For Democrats And Make ‘Trump Underdog Again’

KJ EdelmanNov 4th
Trump Wins Ohio, According to NBC News Projection

Mediaite StaffNov 3rd