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New Gallup Poll Finds Obama Behind Mitt Romney, Even With Rick Perry

» 35 comments

A new Gallup Poll released today finds that, if it were to be held today, the 2012 presidential election would be a close one with President Barack Obama matched closely against each of the four possible Republican opponents. Obama led against Ron Paul and Michele Bachmann by two and four percentage points of perspective voters, respectively, while Mitt Romney edged him out by two percentage points. Obama and Perry stood tied, each earning 47 percent of registered voters prospective tallies.

Although the actual election remains more than a year away, these sorts of numbers indicate a relatively competitive field, “with voters fairly evenly divided in their preference for giving Obama a second term or electing a Republican candidate.” Hopeful, however, for White House reelection efforts is notable lack of a strong, Republican front-runner.

Writing for Gallup, Frank Newport reports:

President Obama’s job approval rating is hovering around the 40% mark. This is below the rating that any of the six incumbent presidents re-elected since Eisenhower has had at the time of the presidential election. However, in August of the year before they were re-elected, Ronald Reagan (43%) and Bill Clinton (46%) were both below 50%. Obama’s position of rough parity against leading GOP candidates shows that more Americans at the moment say they would vote for Obama than approve of the job he is doing — perhaps a reflection of the continuing lack of a strong front-runner on the Republican side.

Moreover, polls found that registered voters still display strong allegiance for their party’s candidate, Democrats voting for Obama, while Republicans, although to a slightly more varying degree, voting Republican regardless the candidate. Newport ultimately points out that, “Gallup research shows that these types of election measures at this stage in the campaign are not highly stable, and one can expect changes in the relative positioning of Obama and various GOP candidates in the months ahead.” So perhaps it’s still too early in the race to be relying heavily on such results.

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  • Guest

    “Obama and Perry stood tied, each earning 47 percent of registered voters prospective tallies.”
    47 Percent for Perry? This is the return of the stupid american. How short is your memory, america? Yeah, go vote for another lost decade after the the bush years. fools.

  • Lamontagnem88

    We were alot better off under Bush than this failure Obummer, you must be stupid if you think Barry is doing a good job.

  • http://twitter.com/Good_Lt Good Lt.

    Bush’s worst day was so far better than Obama’s best.

    Newsflash for Obots: You’re not running against Bush’s record in 2012, or Bush himself.

    You’re running on Obama’s record. And if all you have is “THE GOP IS TEH SUXOR LOL!,” that’s not saying much for your President’s record.

    And you know it.

  • Tampopoloco

    This would all be meaningful if it wasn’t for the fact that the election is 15 FREAKIN’ MONTHS AWAY!

  • Anonymous

    Perry tied with Obama?  Only in Zaney Freeperland.  This country will not go back to

  • Wake up America

    The emperor has no clothes?! Say it isn’t so!!! Wait a sec, I think I can see his butt crack!

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100000981006695 Wayne Black

    Keep dreamin’

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100000981006695 Wayne Black

    Bottom line…Obama wins in 2012…end of the freakin’ story!!!

  • Anonymous

    I supported him, and still do, but i hope Romney puts him and his miserable presidency out of his misery

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_WH3ZLMM7CUKUHUIMK4TKXW6SQE John

    I don’t think Romney will have a chance.  It comes down to Rick Perry and Ron Paul.

  • Anonymous

    Winning The Future!

  • Say it like it is

    The legendary HOWDY DOODY would be ahead of Obummer
    just now and would wax his ass good Nov 2012.
    The clown has run out of people and events to blame for this dismal performance to date!
    The man is OVER HIS DAMN HEAD!

  • Michelle

    Wake up, you’re dreaming!

  • Michelle

    OUCH!  That’s gonna leave a mark! 

  • TruDat

    At this point, I don’t think Obama could beat Pee-Wee Herman.

  • Anonymous

    fascism?

  • Anonymous

    fascism?

  • Anonymous

    fascism?

  • http://www.facebook.com/tony.westover Tony Westover

    This has got to be troubling for any incumbent to see that they can’t get above 50% — and actually LOSE in some cases — to various primary candidates. This is gonna get ugly, because the media is gonna really hate when Obama starts losing to the actual Republican nominee because it’s not like Rick Perry or Mitt Romney or Michelle Bachmann or Ron Paul (woo-hoo!) supporters are going to turn to Obama if their guy doesn’t get the Republican nom.

  • Anonymous

    Yup.  Be sure to slip into your religious “Garments.”

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_J6K37DAH5SHYQQ5Y77FKNJYFBM Rodolfo V.

    I have no Idea who these people are talking to, or whom they have interviewed, but this article is way off target! This poll is a short-sighted snap shot and the real poll will be taken in November 2012! Tejano’s are not happy at all with this Texan.  The unions have geared up for battles in every state and money is pouring in. Teachers have been working to change and fix the short-sighted workings for their students. TEA party-ers have been doing everything they could to do away with Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid! Now these are issues to be involved about and with and everyone should realize any change without input from those on Social Security, should not take effect. One idea to add solvency or extend Social Security is: First, raise the cap on income subject to FICA taxes from $106,800.0­0 to $190,000.0­0 as proposed by AARP in their current issue. They suggest this would close 31 percent of the gap. Workers who normally paid 6.2 percent had that reduced to 4.2 percent by the last Congress. The TEA party would raise that percentage back to 6.2 Percent under their proposal currently in the House. Employers now pay 6.2 percent towards FICA and if that were increased 0.1 percent to 6.3 percent additional easing on the gap would occur. By raising the cap in the first item to $250,000.0­0 and leaving the tax rates as they are now, would further ease the gap in tax revenues and spread the pain across more of the earnings of more Americans. The Republicans have, in the past, fought this issue for the well-to-do as they wouldn’t need Social Security in retirement. Yet these well-to-do would still draw from the “Social Security Well” even though they didn’t need to! Further the Republicans capped the monies on earned wages and not on all sources of income, further allocating the brunt of revenue source generation on the middle class and working poor! If you thinks this would help to fix this problem or at least ease it, may I suggest you write and call your Representative and Senator in your home district and in Washington and make your voices heard!

  • B W

    Another lost decade? Moron, unemployment was never above 7% until the recession hit, because of the housing bubble, etc. Obama’s peak of economic growth barely kept unemployment below 9%. 

    That’s right, anyone who disagrees with your God Obama is a dumb American… Don’t forget productivity and market capital reached record highs during the middle of the Bush years, pre-recession. Fool.

  • Anonymous

    The news doesn’t bode well for Obama, with falling approval numbers and GOP candidates gaining ground in the polls. But it’s way too soon and anything can happen over the next year. The only thing I’m sure of is that it’s gonna get nasty.

  • Mvila

    Do you think Obama should repeat when he has done nothing for the economy, most important issue in America today?

  • Mvila

    Then, America will become like Libia

  • daveinboca

    Obungler is Jimmy Carter with a better tan.

  • Anonymous

    In mid-May, I wrote about
    the commendable — one might say heroic — efforts of New York Attorney
    General Eric Schneiderman to single-handedly impose meaningful
    accountability on Wall Street banks for their role in the 2008 financial
    crisis and the mortgage fraud/foreclosure schemes.  Not only was
    Schneiderman launching probing investigations at a time when the Obama
    DOJ was steadfastly failing to do so, but — more importantly — he was
    refusing to sign onto a global settlement agreement being pushed by the
    DOJ that would have insulated the mortgage banks (including Bank of
    America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo) from all criminal
    investigations in exchange for some relatively modest civil fines.  In
    response, many commenters wondered whether Schneiderman, if he
    persisted, would be targeted by the banks with some type of campaign of
    destruction of the kind that brought down Eliot Spitzer, but fortunately
    for the banks, they can dispatch their owned servants in Washington to apply the pressure for them:

     

    Eric T. Schneiderman, the attorney general of New York, has come under increasing pressure from the Obama administration to drop his opposition to a wide-ranging state settlement with banks over dubious foreclosure practices, according to people briefed on discussions about the deal.

    In recent weeks, Shaun Donovan, the secretary of Housing and
    Urban Development, and high-level Justice Department officials have been
    waging an intensifying campaign to try to persuade the attorney general to support the settlement, said the people briefed on the talks.

    Mr. Schneiderman and top prosecutors in some other states have
    objected to the proposed settlement with major banks, saying it would
    restrict their ability to investigate and prosecute wrongdoing in a
    variety of areas, including the bundling of loans in mortgage
    securities.

    But Mr. Donovan and others in the administration have been contacting not only Mr. Schneiderman but his allies,
    including consumer groups and advocates for borrowers, seeking help to
    secure the attorney general’s participation in the deal, these people
    said. One recipient described the calls from Mr. Donovan, but asked not
    to be identified for fear of retaliation.

    Not surprising, the large banks, which are eager to reach a settlement, have grown increasingly frustrated with Mr. Schneiderman.
    Bank officials recently discussed asking Mr. Donovan for help in
    changing the attorney general’s mind, according to a person briefed on
    those talks.

    In response to this story, the DOJ claims that the settlement is
    necessary to help people whose homes are in foreclosure, an absurd
    rationalization which Marcy Wheeler simply destroys.
     Meanwhile, Yves Smith, whose coverage of banking and mortgage
    fraud (and the administration’s protection of it) has long been
    indispensable, writes today:

    It is high time to describe the Obama Administration by its proper name: corrupt.

    Admittedly, corruption among our elites generally and in
    Washington in particular has become so widespread and blatant as to fall
    into the ”dog bites man” category. But the nauseating gap between the
    Administration’s propaganda and the many and varied ways it sells out
    average Americans on behalf of its favored backers, in this case the too
    big to fail banks, has become so noisome that it has become impossible
    to ignore the fetid smell.

    The Administration has now taken to pressuring parties that are
    not part of the machinery reporting to the President to fall in and do
    his bidding. We’ve gotten so used to the US attorney general being
    conveniently missing in action that we have forgotten that regulators
    and the AG are supposed to be independent.

    Her entire analysis should be read.  The President — who kicked off his campaign vowing to put an end
    to “the era of Scooter Libby justice” — will stand before the
    electorate in 2012 having done everything in his power to shield top
    Bush officials from all accountability for their crimes and will have
    done the same for Wall Street banks, all while continuing to preside
    over the planet’s largest Prison State . . . for ordinary Americans
    convicted even of trivial offenses, particularly (though not only) from
    the War on Drugs he continues steadfastly to defend.  And as Sam Seder noted this morning,
    none of this has anything to do with Congress and cannot be blamed on
    the Weak Presidency, the need to compromise, or the “crazy” GOP.

    I particularly regret that my book to be released in October
    — examining America’s two-tiered justice system, whereby political and
    financial elites are immunized from accountability even for the most
    egregious crimes while ordinary Americans (particularly poor and
    minorities) suffer unfathomably harsh punishments for minor
    transgressions — won’t include this incident, as it so perfectly
    highlights the book’s argument (though it’s long been obvious that Wall
    Street criminals would be immunized from accountability and the book
    deals with that extensively).  Also worth reading in that regard is this article from Joseph Stiglitz on how failure to criminally prosecute mortgage fraud would destroy the rule of law. As I wrote at the end of my May post on Schniederman:

    It is worth keeping a watchful eye on Schneiderman’s
    investigative efforts and doing everything possible to provide what will
    undoubtedly be much-needed support if, as appears to be the case, he is
    serious about taking on these pernicious factions and impeding the
    conspiring by the political class to protect their benefactors/owners.

    When I wrote that, I assumed the pressure would come from the banks
    themselves, not from top Executive Branch officials.  At this point,
    though, the mistake is to consider those entities as separate and
    distinct at all.  As Democratic Sen. Dick Durbin said
    of the branch of government in which he serves:  banks “frankly own the
    place.”  Capitol Hill is obviously not the only property they own on
    Pennsylvania Avenue.Glenn Greenwald ( Salon.com)

  • Anonymous

    Oh well.

  • Ajim26

    better under Bush…thanks for the laugh

  • Ajim26

    nevermind 4000 lives lost needlessly lolololol

  • Ajim26

    yea and when he “ties” with Perry and other Gop wingnuts at his worst ….what does that say bout thr gop candidates lololololo

  • Ajim26

    howdy doody?????? Bush running again?????

  • Guest

    Obama isnt fit for 2012 president. It DOES come down to Ron Paul and Rick Perry. But Rick Perry has a higher chance of winning, consisting of how many changes he made in Texas, and could make in America. Perry has created 1million jobs in Texas JUST as Governor, if he can create that many jobs as governor, he could do alot more while being president.

  • Guest

    Obama shouldn’t tie with Perry, simply the fact that Obama is not fixing any of America’s problems, but making them worse. Perry is way past Obama. No one wants a fail President who doesn’t do ANYTHING during his term in office. Yes he may be the first black president, and also the honor of being the first  black president NOT to finish both terms in office, but that doesn’t change the fact that Obama is a stupid president.  

  • Guest

    Romney doesn’t have a chance to be in office. John is right, it’s down to Rick Perry and Ron Paul. If one of them win, then the person won will be the new president, Obama isnt staying to be the new president

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