Feeling Lucky? Betting Odds Now Have Trump and Biden Virtually Tied

 
Joe Biden, Donald Trump

Saul Loeb/Getty Images

President Donald Trump clearly viewed the Republican National Convention as a success — both the week’s overall events and his own personal performance — and the oddsmakers may be smiling on him as well. The betting odds are now a dead heat between Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Biden.

The latest Real Clear Politics average for the betting odds between the two presidential candidates shows Biden at 50.6 percent and Trump at 49.1 percent — “virtually tied” as pollster Frank Luntz characterized it.

This average was comprised of the numbers from seven different online betting marketplaces, like Betfair and Matchbook, that allow users to wager on who they believe will win the presidential election in November. Three of the four were actually exactly tied.

This latest result is updated as of August 30, and shows a continued narrowing of the race from even just a few days ago.

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Sarah Rumpf joined Mediaite in 2020 and is a Contributing Editor focusing on politics, law, and the media. A native Floridian, Sarah attended the University of Florida, graduating with a double major in Political Science and German, and earned her Juris Doctor, cum laude, from the UF College of Law. Sarah's writing has been featured at National Review, The Daily Beast, Reason, Law&Crime, Independent Journal Review, Texas Monthly, The Capitolist, Breitbart Texas, Townhall, RedState, The Orlando Sentinel, and the Austin-American Statesman, and her political commentary has led to appearances on television, radio, and podcast programs across the globe. Follow Sarah on Threads, Twitter, and Bluesky.