Ex-Trump Lawyer Predicts Guilty Verdict in Hush Money Trial

Colby HallMay 28th, 2024, 8:17 am
 

Ty Cobb

Ty Cobb has predicted a guilty verdict in former President Donald Trump’s hush money-election interference trial.

Cobb, an ex-White House attorney who served Trump in the White House, has become a regular fixture on CNN’s Outfront with Erin Burnett. He provided his prediction to Semafor’s Morgan Chalfant as part of a “one good text” feature posted on X, formerly Twitter.

Cobb predicted four days of jury deliberation, loosely following a rule of thumb that the jury would deliberate one day for each week of the trial. While this trial lasted five weeks, given the intermittent schedule he saw four days of deliberation, and surmised a Friday verdict will come back guilty for Donald Trump.

Cobb added that he reached his legal conclusion “because of my long experience as a federal prosecutor and white collar defense lawyer, my reverence for the rule of law, and despite my view that Trump remains the greatest threat to Democracy in our nation’s history.”

Jury deliberations are always difficult to predict, of course, but one marginally useful rule of thumb is “assume one day for each week of trial.” Here even though there were five weeks of evidence, they were short weeks due to the Court not sitting on Wednesdays and to other days or partial days off. So think of it as 4 weeks of evidence. If the jury begins deliberations Tuesday afternoon, expect a verdict no later than Friday afternoon. I expect a “GUILTY” verdict, but only because the jury instructions as urged by the DA and adopted by the judge, over strenuous and well founded defense objections, virtually require conviction. I reach this legal conclusion because of my long experience as a federal prosecutor and white collar defense lawyer, my reverence for the rule of law, and despite my view that Trump remains the greatest threat to Democracy in our nation’s history.

 

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Colby Hall - Founding Editor

Colby Hall is the Founding Editor of Mediaite.com. He is also a Peabody Award-winning television producer of non-fiction narrative programming as well as a terrific dancer and preparer of grilled meats.