BREAKING 11:15 p.m. ET — Fox News is projecting that Josh Hawley will win the Missouri Senate race — defeating Claire McCaskill.
The Fox News Decision Desk can now project that Republican Attorney General Josh Hawley will oust two-term Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill in one of the most closely watched races in the country. pic.twitter.com/TaWK5PE3xM
— Bret Baier (@BretBaier) November 7, 2018
It’s Election Day in America, which means Missouri incumbent senator Claire McCaskill (D) and her challenger Josh Hawley (R) are about to go head-to-head in one of the closest projected races in the country.
The latest polls: A Monday survey from NBC/Marist gives McCaskill a 3 point lead with 50% of support from likely voters to Hawley’s 47%. This falls within the poll’s margin of error, however, and RealClearPolitics has tracked how McCaskill and Hawley have been neck and neck for months as voter margins have grown increasingly tight.
What pundits are saying: Nate Silver‘s projections for FiveThirtyEight give McCaskill 4 to 7 odds of her holding onto her senate seat. Most political observers are expecting a tough fight in any case, and McCaskill’s platform invites questions over whether her traditionally-purple state will see a blue or red wave.
The race, in brief: As a political moderate who has voted across party lines and distanced herself from more liberal members of the Democrats, McCaskill is trying to maintain her hold on Missouri despite the fact that the state has become more conservative-leaning. Since Missouri voted overwhelmingly for Trump in the 2016 election, McCaskill’s campaign is banking on her record, and her independent stances on issues like immigration reform, trade and health care coverage.
Trump promoted Hawley when he spoke in Missouri on Monday night, saying McCaskill will vote along party lines if re-elected. Hawley honed in on this recently by critiquing McCaskill’s “no” vote for Brett Kavanaugh‘s Supreme Court nomination and by drawing parallels between her and Hillary Clinton.
[Image via screengrab]
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