‘Canary in the Coal Mine!’ Joe Scarborough Goes All-In On Ann Selzer’s Shocking Iowa Poll Showing Trump Behind
Morning Joe host Joe Scarborough went all-in on Ann Selzer’s Iowa poll that unexpectedly put Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump in what was previously expected to be a safe Republican state, calling the data a “canary in the coal mine” that could indicate a wider push toward Harris.
A Selzer poll conducted for the Des Moines Register, published Saturday, revealed Harris leading her Republican opponent by three points.
Scarborough revealed on Monday’s show how he ducked out of his pre-election weekend “dark zone” where he refuses to look at media when co-host Mika Brzezinski called him up to ask him if he’d seen Selzer’s poll.
She quietly goes: ‘Have you seen about the Iowa poll?’ I go, ‘what Iowa poll?’ I’m looking at South Carolina. They’re looking pretty good. She goes, ‘oh, Ann Selzer has Harris up by three points in Iowa.’ I’m like, what? Then I’m on the phone the rest of the night… First of all, Ann gets it right every time. Just about every time.
Coverage pivoted to MSNBC national affairs analyst John Heilemann who praised Selzer for her accuracy, recalled the correct predictions made by Selzer in 2016, 2012 and 2008 – noting that in 2004 she only missed her call by one point.
Scarborough added: “Said it on Saturday, canary in the coal mine!”
Soon after Morning Joe hosted Selzer who detailed her findings, noting Harris’s demographic wins with women in the state: “Kamala Harris wins with women more than she loses with men.” Selzer added that abortion had been a massive part of the race, also impacting congressional races where, in the case of the first district, Democrats were leading the incumbent Republican by 20-points.
Scarborough returned to justify his excitement in the “outlier” poll and why it “may” have nationwide significance: “Ann doesn’t have to do that because Ann was right four years ago. She just looks at the data and puts it out there. If people are asking what’s going on here and why this outlier may be a canary in a coal mine, it is the same reason that John Heilemann said, four years ago it was a massive swing toward Trump.”
He added: “Ann trusted the data. She didn’t have to play games with the numbers because she didn’t have to adjust for past failures.”
Watch above on MSNBC.