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Latest FiveThirtyEight Stories
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    Nate Silver Warns Trump is ‘Discouraging Turnout’ Among His OWN Voters By Sowing Doubt in Mail-In Voting

    Charlie NashJul 20th
     
  • Post image

    FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver Destroys OAN for Cherrypicking Polls Favorable to Trump: ‘Not How Legitimate News Organizations Behave’

    KJ EdelmanJul 14th
     
  • Post image

    House Democrat Warns Biden Win is Not a Lock: Polls Are Again ‘Fundamentally Undercounting’ Trump Vote

    KJ EdelmanJul 10th
     
  • Post image

    Fauci Acknowledges Federal Gov’t Is Not ‘Doing Great’ Responding to Covid Outbreak: ‘I Mean, We’re Just Not’

    KJ EdelmanJul 9th
     
  • Post image

    FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver Says Trump Has a Chance Despite Huge Current Poll Deficit: He Can ‘Absolutely Win’

    KJ EdelmanJun 22nd
     
  • Post image

    More Americans Disapprove of Trump Than Any President at This Point in Their Term: FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver

    KJ EdelmanJun 2nd
     
  • Mike Bloomberg

    Nate Silver Says Bloomberg is Slipping in Polls After Debates: He’s in ‘A Lot of Trouble’

    Charlie NashFeb 26th
     
  • Post image

    Bernie is Now 50/50 to Win Nomination as Biden’s Chances Crater: Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight

    Charlie NashFeb 6th
     
  • Post image

    2018 ELECTION State of the Race: 25 Days Until Midterms

    Evan RosenfeldOct 12th
     
  • Post image

    Maggie Haberman and Nate Silver Exchange Barbs Over 2016 Coverage

    Aidan McLaughlinSep 26th
     
  • Post image

    Nate Silver: Trump’s Strong Support Base is Eroding

    Aidan McLaughlinMay 24th
     
  • Post image

    Nate Silver Goes to War With HuffPost Writer: ‘You Have No F*cking Idea What You’re Talking About’

    Joe DePaoloNov 5th
     
  • Post image

    Nate Silver Warns Media Against ‘Dangerous’ Assumption Trump Isn’t Really Closing in on Hillary

    Ken MeyerSep 21st
     
  • Post image

    Nate Silver Calls the Election ‘Highly Competitive’ With This New Data From FiveThirtyEight

    J.D. DurkinSep 14th
     
  • Post image

    Trump Tweets Out Nonexistent Poll Showing Him Up In Ohio

    Alex GriswoldSep 5th
     
  • Post image

    FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver: Vox Just Rewrites Wikipedia Pages

    Alex GriswoldNov 9th
     
  • Post image

    Ezra Klein Apologizes to Nate Silver for ‘Careless’ FiveThirtyEight Aggregation

    Matt WilsteinApr 13th
     
  • Post image

    MSNBC, 538: ‘The Polls Were Way Off’

    Evan McMurryNov 5th
     
  • Post image

    FiveThirtyEight Publishes the Most Brutally Honest Editor’s Note Ever

    Noah RothmanMay 16th
     
  • Post image

    NY Times’ ‘Upshot’ Debuts, Challenges 538′s Senate Predictions

    Evan McMurryApr 22nd
     
  • Post image

    Nate Silver Talks with Jon Stewart About the ‘Rash of Sh*t’ He’s Getting from Dems

    Josh FeldmanMar 27th
     
  • Post image

    Memo to Democrats: Treat Nate Silver Like Vegas

    Clark YoungMar 26th
     
  • Post image

    Nate Silver to ABC: GOP Has 60% Shot at Retaking Senate

    Evan McMurryMar 23rd
     
  • Post image

    FiveThirtyEight Kicks Off 2016 Coverage by Declaring GOP Field Historically Divided

    Matt WilsteinMar 21st
     
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    'Weird Obsession With Death': Current and Former Defense Officials on Hegseth

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    Fox News Doc Says 'The Problem Is Teens... Ages 15-19 – The Fertility Is Down' 

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