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Latest FiveThirtyEight Stories
  • Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden

    Biden Wins Arizona, According to Fox News Projection

    Mediaite StaffNov 3rd
     
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    Nate Silver Says Trump Win in Florida Triples Chances to Win Presidency: ‘First Step Toward a Trump Upset’

    KJ EdelmanNov 3rd
     
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    Trump Projected to Win Florida By Decision Desk HQ

    Mediaite StaffNov 3rd
     
  • Post image

    Who is Winning in Georgia? The Latest 2020 Election Info and Vote Totals, All Day

    Mediaite StaffNov 3rd
     
  • Post image

    Who is Winning in Nevada? The Latest 2020 Election Info and Vote Totals, All Day

    Mediaite StaffNov 3rd
     
  • Post image

    Trump Projected to Win Iowa By Fox News

    Mediaite StaffNov 3rd
     
  • Post image

    Who is Winning in Pennsylvania? The Latest 2020 Election Info and Vote Totals, All Day

    Mediaite StaffNov 3rd
     
  • Post image

    Who is Winning in North Carolina? The Latest 2020 Election Info and Vote Totals, All Day

    Mediaite StaffNov 3rd
     
  • Post image

    Trump Wins Texas, According to Fox News Projection

    Mediaite StaffNov 3rd
     
  • Post image

    WATCH: SNL Cold Open Tackles Halloween, 2016, and Tuesday’s Election: ‘This Daylight Saving Time, Let’s Gain an Hour and Lose a President!’

    KJ EdelmanOct 31st
     
  • Post image

    3 Days Out: Biden Still Ahead in Most Polls, RCP Moves Arizona from TIE to Trump, Then to Biden

    Caleb HoweOct 31st
     
  • Post image

    What Could Go Wrong? FiveThirtyEight Now Makes Joe Biden a Whopping 90 Percent Favorite

    Colby HallOct 31st
     
  • Post image

    4 Days Out: Biden’s National Lead Steady, RCP Battleground Average Ticks Toward Trump

    Tommy ChristopherOct 30th
     
  • Post image

    5 Days Out: Biden Gains in National Polling Averages, But Battleground State Average Narrows

    Tommy ChristopherOct 29th
     
  • Post image

    6 Days Out: Blockbuster State Polls Show Major Gains For Biden, But National Polls Show Tightening of Race

    Tommy ChristopherOct 28th
     
  • Post image

    7 Days Out: Averages Narrow But Pro-Trump Rasmussen Poll Swings 3 Points Toward Biden, Biden Up 6 in Nevada

    Tommy ChristopherOct 27th
     
  • Post image

    8 Days Out: Post-Debate Polls, A Weekend of Rallies, and How Today Compares to 2016

    Caleb HoweOct 26th
     
  • Post image

    11 Days Out: Good News For Biden in State Polls, Trump Gets 4-point Bump in Rasmussen Survey

    Tommy ChristopherOct 23rd
     
  • Donald Trump, Joe Biden

    12 Days Out: Biden Leads Over Trump Narrow a Few Ticks in FiveThirtyEight Polling Average

    Tommy ChristopherOct 22nd
     
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    13 Days Out: Biden Leads Trump By Double-Digits in FiveThirtyEight Polling Average, 8.5 Points in RCP’s

    Tommy ChristopherOct 21st
     
  • Post image

    Joe Biden Opens 10-Point Lead in New Pennsylvania Poll on Eve of First Debate

    Leia IdlibySep 29th
     
  • Trump Black Nicholas Kamm/Getty Images

    Young Black Voters 3 Times More Likely to Trust GOP Than Older Black Voters, Partially Thanks to Trump: FiveThirtyEight Study

    Rudy TakalaSep 23rd
     
  • Nate Silver

    JUST IN: FiveThirtyEight Now Forecasts Democrats Will Win Control of Senate

    Charlie NashSep 18th
     
  • Joe Biden, Donald Trump

    Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight Gives Joe Biden a 71 Percent Chance of Beating Trump

    Charlie NashAug 12th
     
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  • Dan Abrams, Norm Eisen

    Trump Critic Norm Eisen Blasts 'Misleading' NY Times Report About Trump Judges

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    Randy Fine Introduces 'Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act'

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