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Latest FiveThirtyEight Stories
  • Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden

    Biden Wins Arizona, According to Fox News Projection

    Mediaite StaffNov 3rd
     
  • Post image

    Nate Silver Says Trump Win in Florida Triples Chances to Win Presidency: ‘First Step Toward a Trump Upset’

    KJ EdelmanNov 3rd
     
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    Trump Projected to Win Florida By Decision Desk HQ

    Mediaite StaffNov 3rd
     
  • Post image

    Who is Winning in Georgia? The Latest 2020 Election Info and Vote Totals, All Day

    Mediaite StaffNov 3rd
     
  • Post image

    Who is Winning in Nevada? The Latest 2020 Election Info and Vote Totals, All Day

    Mediaite StaffNov 3rd
     
  • Post image

    Trump Projected to Win Iowa By Fox News

    Mediaite StaffNov 3rd
     
  • Post image

    Who is Winning in Pennsylvania? The Latest 2020 Election Info and Vote Totals, All Day

    Mediaite StaffNov 3rd
     
  • Post image

    Who is Winning in North Carolina? The Latest 2020 Election Info and Vote Totals, All Day

    Mediaite StaffNov 3rd
     
  • Post image

    Trump Wins Texas, According to Fox News Projection

    Mediaite StaffNov 3rd
     
  • Post image

    WATCH: SNL Cold Open Tackles Halloween, 2016, and Tuesday’s Election: ‘This Daylight Saving Time, Let’s Gain an Hour and Lose a President!’

    KJ EdelmanOct 31st
     
  • Post image

    3 Days Out: Biden Still Ahead in Most Polls, RCP Moves Arizona from TIE to Trump, Then to Biden

    Caleb HoweOct 31st
     
  • Post image

    What Could Go Wrong? FiveThirtyEight Now Makes Joe Biden a Whopping 90 Percent Favorite

    Colby HallOct 31st
     
  • Post image

    4 Days Out: Biden’s National Lead Steady, RCP Battleground Average Ticks Toward Trump

    Tommy ChristopherOct 30th
     
  • Post image

    5 Days Out: Biden Gains in National Polling Averages, But Battleground State Average Narrows

    Tommy ChristopherOct 29th
     
  • Post image

    6 Days Out: Blockbuster State Polls Show Major Gains For Biden, But National Polls Show Tightening of Race

    Tommy ChristopherOct 28th
     
  • Post image

    7 Days Out: Averages Narrow But Pro-Trump Rasmussen Poll Swings 3 Points Toward Biden, Biden Up 6 in Nevada

    Tommy ChristopherOct 27th
     
  • Post image

    8 Days Out: Post-Debate Polls, A Weekend of Rallies, and How Today Compares to 2016

    Caleb HoweOct 26th
     
  • Post image

    11 Days Out: Good News For Biden in State Polls, Trump Gets 4-point Bump in Rasmussen Survey

    Tommy ChristopherOct 23rd
     
  • Donald Trump, Joe Biden

    12 Days Out: Biden Leads Over Trump Narrow a Few Ticks in FiveThirtyEight Polling Average

    Tommy ChristopherOct 22nd
     
  • Post image

    13 Days Out: Biden Leads Trump By Double-Digits in FiveThirtyEight Polling Average, 8.5 Points in RCP’s

    Tommy ChristopherOct 21st
     
  • Post image

    Joe Biden Opens 10-Point Lead in New Pennsylvania Poll on Eve of First Debate

    Leia IdlibySep 29th
     
  • Trump Black Nicholas Kamm/Getty Images

    Young Black Voters 3 Times More Likely to Trust GOP Than Older Black Voters, Partially Thanks to Trump: FiveThirtyEight Study

    Rudy TakalaSep 23rd
     
  • Nate Silver

    JUST IN: FiveThirtyEight Now Forecasts Democrats Will Win Control of Senate

    Charlie NashSep 18th
     
  • Joe Biden, Donald Trump

    Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight Gives Joe Biden a 71 Percent Chance of Beating Trump

    Charlie NashAug 12th
     
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  • Trump Greenland

    New Poll Shows Just How Many Americans Support a Military Takeover of Greenland

  • President Donald Trump talks after meeting with New York City Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani in the Oval Office of the White House, Friday, Nov. 21, 2025, in Washington.

    Trump Announces Stunning Plan to Defund Cities That 'BREED CRIME AND VIOLENCE!'

  • Featured post image

    James Talarico's Populist Pitch for Angry Voters: The 'Rage Economy'

  • Featured post image

    Joy Behar, Sunny Hostin Spar Over Whether Rogan Gets 'Credit' for Trump Attacks

  • Featured post image

    Even RFK Jr. Unsure How Trump Is Still Alive While Enjoying Junk Food Road Diet

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Most Popular

  1. Joe Scarborough Warns Dems to ‘Get Ready’ After Trump's Voting Machine Reveal

  2. John Bolton Says He 'Always Worried' Trump Would Steal Roosevelt's Peace Prize

  3. NYC Mayor Mamdani 'Outraged' After City Staffer With Work Permit Detained By ICE

  4. Lindsey Graham Tells 'Worthless Piece of Crap' Ken Martin to 'Go to Hell!'

  5. Jon Stewart Says Clintons Should 'Abso-F**king-Lutely' Comply With Subpoenas


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