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National Journal: President’s Poll Numbers May Be Bad, But He Not A One-Termer Yet

» 57 comments

President Obama‘s approval ratings may have fallen in the latest Gallup poll, but National Journal‘s Beth Reinhard and Brian McGill say Obama should hang on to hope. “Another president who suffered a recession early in his first term also had, at the same point in his first term, an approval rating hovering in the low 40 percent range — and President Reagan went on to win a landslide reelection victory the following year,” Reinhard and McGill write, warning that GOP excitement over the president’s weakness may be premature. “First of all, the approval ratings for Congress and the tea party are falling further faster. (Obama may want to take a cue from Harry Truman, who famously ran against the “Do-Nothing Congress.’’)”

The President, the authors argue, will continue to gain strength from a wide-open GOP field of candidates and the lack of a clear, strong frontrunner. That, of course, could change.

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  • http://twitter.com/MaxTwain Max Twain

    Comparing Obama to Reagan is like comparing Carter to Lincoln.

  • http://twitter.com/Good_Lt Good Lt.

    Obama is no Reagan.

  • Anonymous

    Looks like the National Journal’s Beth Reinhard and Brian McGill are ‘whistling past the graveyard’ of the Obama presidency.

  • Anonymous

    Comparing Obama to Reagan is like comparing…….Obama to Reagan.  The assertion is so silly, it needs no further contrast.

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Pocho-Basura/100002485653016 Pocho Basura

    DEM 2012 EXIT POLL*
    WHITES 30%
    ASIANS 30%
    LATINOS 50%
    BLACKS 99%
    ILLEGAL ALIENS 100%
    THE DEAD 100%
    SEIU 200%
    ABSENTEE MILITARY 000%
    (ballots arrive to late to qualify)

    *obamma runs unopposed in 7 of the 57 states

  • Anonymous

    He Not A One-Termer Yet…

    That’s true.  Not yet.  Not until November 6 of next year, to be precise.
     

  • Anonymous

    Fact: Where is Ilene K on this? Poll number are down like in his downgrade! WhoooHooo but he will be out in 2012!

  • http://twitter.com/nomadd79 Olufela Sowande

    Fox News may have filled your heads with Obama Derangement Syndrome and Reagan Worship but here are some facts:

    - Reagan raised the debt.. it fell under Jimmy Carter. In fact in the past 30 years the debt has only ever fallen under Democratic Presidents
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_debt_by_U.S._presidential_terms#Gross_federal_debt

    - Reagan raised the debt ceiling 18 timeshttp://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2011/jul/26/barack-obama/obama-says-reagan-raised-debt-ceiling-18-times-geo/- Reagan RAISED taxes
    http://www.forbes.com/2010/02/02/barack-obama-ronald-reagan-budget-taxes-opinions-contributors-rob-shapiro.htmlObama's approval rating, given the level of vitriol spewed at his is actually holding up remarkably wellhttp://www.businessinsider.com/obama-job-approval-50-or-higher-in-16-states-and-dc-2011-8?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=politicsFacts.. somewhat inconvenient for ideologs! I expect I will now be personally attacked for these inconvenient truths… BRING IT ON!! I also predict no one will be able to challenge these FACTS!

  • Republicans are Liars

    http://foxnewslies.net/ Just incase anyone hasn’t seen this Excellent reading for TeaIdiots at the end of this link.

  • Texan

    “He not”

    LOL!

  • Texan

    Thanks patsy!

  • Texan

    You wouldn’t happen to be an ideolog, wouldja?

  • http://twitter.com/nomadd79 Olufela Sowande

    Center Lefty.. yes. Ideolog.. no! 

    But like I said, not one FACT challenged of refuted. You can’t can you? Facts are not one your side!

  • Monty Pyth0n

    - Reagan raised the debt.. it fell under Jimmy Carter. In fact in the past 30 years the debt has only ever fallen under Democratic Presidentshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/N…

    Except the one we have currently who will have raised the debt more than an other President combined.

    - Reagan raised the debt ceiling 18 timeshttp://www.politifact.com/trut…This has been true of every other president as well. However in this day and age we are at a point where our debt is unsustainable and our spending is out of control. (Sen Obama railed against the Bush admin for raising the debt ceiling) This argument can be made both ways.

    - Reagan RAISED taxeshttp://www.forbes.com/2010/02/…Yes this is true, but overall Reagan reduced tax rates during his terms. There were areas with corporate taxes and energy taxes that Reagan got tougher, but when it came to individual tax rates Reagan reduced them greatly.

    Obama’s approval rating, given the level of vitriol spewed at him, is actually holding up remarkably wellhttp://www.businessinsider.com…This is mostly due to a still fawing media that defends this president at every turn and with every decision he makes.

    I understand that you grabbed a few facts out of the air in order to make a grand agument against the right and it is commendable that you didn’t use media matters or think progress to back you claims. However they are just snippets that do not fully tell the story in each case.

  • Anonymous

    It’s going to be very entertaining watching the “mainstream” media twist themselves into the ground, having gone from “Obama is the 2nd coming of Jesus” in 2008 to cheering Obama on as he runs the dirtiest, nastiest, most negative campaign a billion dollars can buy in 2012.

  • Anonymous

    You were evidently asleep in civics class, assuming you ever had one, as spending and tax bills originate in Congress. The president can propose what ever he wants and his wishes are routinely ignored by Congress—regardless of political affiliations. Case in point Obama proposed a tax and spend budget to Congress in January which was roundly rejected, with bipartisan fervor, 97-0.

  • http://twitter.com/nomadd79 Olufela Sowande

    OK.. Again no facts disputed but at least you have tried to argue the case.

    “There were areas with corporate taxes and energy taxes that Reagan got tougher, but when it came to individual tax rates Reagan reduced them greatly”
    I call that a balanced approach.. now where have I heard that before? Hmmm

    ‘Except the one we have currently who will have raised the debt more than an other President combined.’
    You see now that is just not true.. borders on retarded but I know some on Faux News are pushing this bilge! If you can prove it, post a link

    ‘This is mostly due to a still fawing media that defends this president at every turn and with every decision he makes.’ 
    Then you have to admit if you are capable of being objective that this helps his chances in 2012.. no?

    ‘However in this day and age we are at a point where our debt is unsustainable and our spending is out of control.’
    I actually agree. I agree the debt/deficit should be reduced! Would help if Tea Party weren;’t so intransigent about Tax increases.. like you point out Reagan understood some tax increases are a legitimate part of a balanced approach. Anyway debt limit is nothing to do with future debt/spending. It is raised to pay for liabilities already incurred.

  • caconservative

    Yet, somehow it worked under Regan, why is that?

  • Anonymous

    And the Nation will never forget RayGun & the vast wonders he did perform.  As we are forever stuck with so many of them as we spiral downwards.  Let us pray!

  • http://twitter.com/nomadd79 Olufela Sowande

    So who’s going beat Obama anyway? “Flip Flop” Mitt? Michelle Bachman? Herman Cain? LOL

  • The Real Royal Emperor

    Thank All the Marys in Heaven, although he is the most Raygunesque president since Raygun.

  • The Real Royal Emperor

    “Ideolog”? That is the worst spelling error in the history of Mediate, perhaps in all of cyberspace. Have you no shame, Jeff, at long last have you no shame?

  • The Real Royal Emperor

    Maybe, he’s too busy being an ideolog to proof.

  • The Real Royal Emperor

    Maybe, he’s too busy being an ideolog to proof.

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Bob-Uda/1044488632 Bob Uda

    Not a one-termer yet?  Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha!  Surely, you jest.

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Bob-Uda/1044488632 Bob Uda

    Not a one-termer yet?  Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha!  Surely, you jest.

  • Anonymous

    It is a misspelling but certainly not the worst.

  • Anonymous

    You say you aren’t an ideolog [sic] yet you are tweeting to the White House’s twitter on how they can beat the Republicans.

    “@whitehouse
    The ONLY way that Obama & the rest of you’ll keep you jobs will be
    to counter the GOP message machine! Who’s Dems’ Frank Luntz?”

    Not only are you an ideologue but you are a dishonest one to boot.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_U2TKZ373YWXVO5YD7HFDBEYS5Y JamesT

    ‘Except the one we have currently who will have raised the debt more than an other President combined.’
    You
    see now that is just not true.. borders on retarded but I know some on
    Faux News are pushing this bilge! If you can prove it, post a link – http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2011/jul/10/mitt-romney/mitt-romney-says-barack-obama-will-add-more-debt-4/ – it’s partly correct.

  • Texan

    Loser, I was mocking the sock puppet @Olufela Sowande. Think before you post for your own good.
     ”somewhat inconvenient for ideologs!”

  • The Real Royal Emperor

    No, you weren’t. You’re illiterate, Jeff.

  • Exgoper

    How exactly did it “work”?? Our long descent into massive debt really started rolling under Reagan’s military build-up and tax cuts, which we’re still suffering through. You must have extremely low standards of success.

    At least Reagan had enough sense to raise taxes to begin to deal with the mess that he caused. Today’s Republicans are such frightening ideologues that they’d never, ever do something so pragmatic. They’d sooner see the country default and lose its good credit rating than ever compromise.

  • Anonymous

    Nope.

  • Lou_sarah

    I see that your powers of observation are so great that after two and half years as your president, you still don’t know how to spell his name correctly.

    Typical conservative. Filled with bile, but brains? Not so much.

  • thepelosi

    maybe if the pres new how many states in the union , you’d have an argument… mr. 57 states, maybe thats the number of states they have in kenya.

  • Anonymous

    Joe Average Citizen does not remember or care what Regan, Clinton, or even Bush did, does not know what legislation got us where we are, debt wise and is not caught up in the emotions of abortion or gay rights. J.A.C. Is not big on ideology or the difference between a social conservative or a fiscal conservative. He isn’t even given a choice in that area because all presidential candidates so far are either both (Republican) or dead center (Obama).

    I already hear the shouts of anger from the wacko’s who believe that Obama is a communist, Marxist, socialist destroyer of our nation and its traditions, but the fact is that half of those who bring his ratings down think he is not liberal enough. They will rally around him, not out of Messiah worship, but as the most adult person in the room during the recent negotiations. Boehner comes in as an adult, too, but he isn’t running for POTUS.

    Joe will remember that Obama tried to create jobs, even if he did seem to fail, but Joe will also remember that the right ONLY said JOB KILLING, and nobody but the far right is fooled by “Tax cuts create jobs.”

  • Exgoper

    It’s all good and well to point to Obama’s slumping poll numbers, but it invites the inevitable question: compared to what?

    He’s polling way ahead of Republicans in Congress, as well as ahead of
    Democrats (though less so). But most significantly, he continues to
    out-poll all of the potential GOP nominees except a “generic”
    Republican, which is meaningless.

    Even now, while the economy still struggles, Obama retains the edge. Republicans who deny this
    do so at their own peril. He’s the only adult in the room and voters
    intuitively know this. Bachmann is a religious nut with nonsensical far
    right ideas. Palin can’t finish a sentence, let alone a full term to
    elected office. Romney has changed his position on so many issues that
    no one trusts him. Gingrich’s campaign is DOA. Santorum almost makes
    Bachmann look moderate. Pawlenty is a weakling and has zero charisma.
    Perry’s not even popular among Texans, the people who know him best. And
    there’s no way that the Republicans will ever nominate Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Gary Johnson.

    If you Repugs want to win this one, you’re going to have to do A LOT
    better than your “B” team. I wouldn’t trust this team to run Wasilla,
    let alone the country.

  • Guest

    Anybody is better than Obama.   Anybody!!!!

  • Guest

    Anybody is better than Obama.   Anybody!!!!

  • Guest

    Keep on dreaming and hoping and praying for all that change stuff.   LOL

  • http://twitter.com/cek100248 charles kirtley

    The fact that Obama was elected in 2010 proves you don’t have to have qualifications, experience or accomplishments to be elected president. All you need is an affirmative action resume, a lot of white guilt, and the ability to not speak ebonics. So it is quite possible he will be re-elected.

  • Anonymous

    Latest poll numbers released today: only 22% of voters strongly approve of Obama’s job performance.  He is now even losing to a “generic” Republican in polls. 

  • Guest

    Are you out of work or underemployed?  Then come join us, the Socialist Democrat party, we will get you a job, we will provide for your every need.  We will share with you the fruits of other people’s labor and make you a part of the new “Dependent class”.  You will be taken care of and you will never have to suffer again.  Just vote for the new Socialist Democrat party and we will make all those nasty rich business types pay for your all your comfort and want. 

  • StoopidRepublicanHypocrit

    Are you filthy rich and paying the lowest tax rates in generations? Then come join us, the Republican party, where we’ll go to the mat to protect your offshore accounts, your tax dodges, your no interest Tiffany revolving credit account. We will make sure that you get all the benefits of government — clean air, clean water, national defense, schools, hospitals, roads, highways, safe streets — and never have to pay your fair share! (We’d mention public transportation, but, let’s get real — you’ll never use THAT!) Just vote for the new Fascist Republican party and we’ll make sure that all those elderly and middle class voters pay for all your comfort and wants. 

  • Jerry Baustian

    He never said there were 57 states; he referred to the “other 57 states” so was implying that there must be 58.

    I’ve tried to come up with 58 or even 57 and can’t do it. 
    50 states
    51: DC
    52: PR – Puerto Rico
    53: VI – Virgin Islands
    54: GU – Guam
    55: AS –  American Samoa
    56: MP – Northern Marianas

    The following entities are independent countries, though still served by the USPS.
    57: FM – Federated States of Micronesia
    58: MH – Marshall Islands
    59: PW – Palau

  • TurdBlossom

    You’re right. He was only a constitutional scholar, an educator, a state legislator, a US Senator, a best selling author and had managed the most effective and well-financed presidential campaign ever. 

    Just curious — since you call him unqualified and inexperienced — what exactly are your credentials to render that judgment?

  • http://twitter.com/nomadd79 Olufela Sowande

    Still not challenging the facts huh? Typical, predicted!

    And yes I do want Obama to win.. if you think that makes me and IDEOLOG (I’ll spell how I want to thank you very much!) then that says much more about you than it does about me frankly!

  • Anonymous

    Name, address, and phone number please, so we can discuss this privately.

  • The Real Royal Emperor

    He was elected in 2008. And will be again in 2012.

  • Anonymous

    Name, address, and phone number please.

  • Anonymous

    It’s been confirmed, Obama is certifiably insane. He’s also a punk.

  • bob

    Hope & Change

    Hope Obama gets kicked out

    Change We get a new competent president

  • Anonymous

    A letter to our country

    Dear USA,

    It’s true: You’ve been under a lot of pressure lately, and you’re having a hard time sleeping
    at night. You’ve been tense, upset, depressed. I don’t have a magic pill for
    you to take to make everything cheerier. But I do have a suggestion: Pause for
    a minute. Take a deep breath. Hold it in. Let it out slowly. . . There, is that
    a little better?

    The heartfelt letter continues at Thinking Out Loud,
    http://marperl.blogspot.com/2011/08/letter-to-usa-during-debt-ceiling.html

  • http://ja-js.blogtownhall.com Chuck Fowler

    “Another president who suffered a recession early in his first term also had, at the same point in his first term, an approval rating hovering in the low 40 percent range — and President Reagan went on to win a landslide reelection victory the following year.”

    Obama can cling to hype, I mean hope, if he wants to, but I voted for Reagan. I remember him and his presidency clearly — and Obama ain’t no Reagan. Not by a damn sight.

  • http://ja-js.blogtownhall.com Chuck Fowler

    No, but 57 is the number of Islamic states. Interesting, huh?

  • Anonymous

    Pretty sickening when they compare Obama to Reagan, a man who truly loved America and it’s people, who proved he was a True Leader, not just an actor, a person who knew what he was doing, made decisions, usually the Right ones, and made America greater than it had ever been!  That is like comparing Gold to a pile of Feces!  Obama has proved to be UnQualified and not a Leader.  He has no idea what he is doing and has surrounded himself with AntiAmerican Scum.  To me, Obama is more like an Enemy of America and it’s Constitution.  I took and oath, many moons ago, to defend my country and it’s Constitution from all Enemies, and I will keep that oath for the rest of my life.  2012, we have to vote this enemy out of office.  If not, we need to be prepared because the riots they are having in Europe will be hitting the streets of America.  Obama has brought our country to near collapse and another term would be fatal.  Keep your Weapons Clean and your Powder Dry, Be Prepared!

  • Msjase1

    wow, the rhetoric here seems to be that our current president is a complete idiot, failure, and whatever else negative he may be. Sadly, though he is in office trying to do what he said he would do. It is only at the opposition of people like you that attempt to make him look like the bad guy every step of the way.
    I, for one, am sick of all politicians who say their way is better. Hell we  voted for all of them and they all have a job to do. It is high time they quit voting against each other and fiugre out a way to come to work to get their jobs done. Jobs that are supposed to be in place to make decisions for the American people.

    As for saying that he is for illegal immigrants, I say to you this:

    As far as the history of America, White man is the most illegal immigrant of all here now and has been for generations. It was their own ideology to steal land that didn’t belong to them and take ownership for themselves that gave them the audacity to think they they can forever decide who has rights to this so called land of opportunity. Don’t get me wrong, I am not racist, I am just saying what the history books teach us daily. we have so many problems in this country and I don’t care who it is if you are not offering a solution to the problem, then you are part of it. It is time out for name calling, blame gaming, and saying who is or was better at the job of president. Frankly, it is a job that has high demand of responsibility for whoever gets the position. Bush wasn’t that great of a president anyway, but we dealt with what he did, now the mess is trying to be cleaned up. I am tired of these nonsense comments that seem to be outright racist in their attempt to be covered a otherwise something else.

    Get  grip, no Republican cares for the people, they care for their pocketbooks and their ideology of how America should be. If it was left up to them, we would still be in the Pre-civil rights era. Where minorities and women would be not even given their God given rights in this country.

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